St Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +154, Pirates -185; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +155, Pirates -185; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +155, Pirates -185; Over/Under:  8 runs

St Louis Cardinals:  52-47 (2nd place, NL Central)

Pittsburgh Pirates:  50-49 (3rd place, NL Central)

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St Louis Cardinals:  5-5 last 10

Pittsburgh Pirates:  8-2 last 10

The Cardinals are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-47 record overall and have a road record of 26-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Andre Pallante is their starting pitcher on Monday while Lance Lynn is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-4 with a 4.39 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Pirates are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-49 record overall and have a home record of 24-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cardinals on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .671 OPS. Mitch Keller is their starting pitcher on Monday while Paul Skenes is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 11 strikeouts on 0 hits through 7 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pirates haven't looked great in their games this season with their 50-49 record overall, but that record has them in 3rd place of the NL Central and fighting for a playoff spot. They haven't looked as good in their home games with their 24-25 home record, but they have been getting really hot lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have looked good in their games this season with their 52-47 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL Central and fighting to stay ahead of the Pirates who are right below them. They are 26-25 in their road games this season, but they haven't looked as good as the Pirates have been lately. The Cardinals won their series against the Braves out of the break but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games. They will also have Lynn on the mound here and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 5-4 with a 4.39 ERA and only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but he is also a disaster just waiting to happen and the Pirates have been hitting well lately. The Pirates are going to have a stud on the mound too with Skenes starting and he has been lighting up the MLB in his rookie season. He was just selected to the All-Star game as a rookie and has looked great all season, going 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him, and the team has won 2 games in a row with him starting too. The Pirates have been really hot lately and this is a big series for them to cut down on the lead the Cardinals have over them. The Cardinals won't be able to put up too many runs against Skenes here and the Pirates always bring their best effort on offense when he is starting. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game.

Cardinals Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 23, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Pirates 5 Cardinals 1.

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St Louis Cardinals: 17-13 (+4.15 units) on the moneyline in their last 30 away games. 22-17 (+7.25 units) on the runline in their last 39 games. 6-0 (+6.15 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 6 away games. 

Pittsburgh Pirates: 22-23 (-4.95 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 45 home games. 23-12 to the under in their last 35 games. 53-36 to the under with their team total in their last 89 games.

St Louis Cardinals:  S. Matz (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Middleton (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. O'Brien (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Edman (SS) Late May - Wrist. D. Rom (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  B. Falter (RP) Out indefinitely - Arm. D. Jefferies (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Jones (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Stratton (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. R. Borucki (RP) Out indefinitely - Wrist. M. Perez (SP) Mid June - Groin. D. Moreta (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Oviedo (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Rodriguez (C) out for season - Elbow.

“Always good to see him smile. The looser he plays, the better he gets. Seeing him homer today was obviously fun. Hopefully he can build off of that. He’s a really good hitter.” - Oliver Marmol after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Sunday.

“We played well against the best team in baseball. We didn’t play great today. But to come back the first night, do what we did yesterday — you want to win every game but to win two of three against that team — we didn’t play great today but, overall, I thought we played well over the weekend.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

M Winn (R) SS

A Burleson (L) DH

W Contreras (R) C

B Donovan (L) LF

N Arenado (R) 3B

L Nootbaar (L) RF

P Goldschmidt (R) 1B

N Gorman (L) 2B

M Siani (L) CF

A McCutchen (R) DH

B Reynolds (S) LF

O Cruz (L) SS

N Gonzales (R) 2B

R Tellez (L) 1B

K Hayes (R) 3B

J Palacios (L) CF

C Joe (R) RF

J Bart (R) C

Batting Average:  Alec Burleson (.294)

Hits:  Brendan Donovan (101)

Home Runs:  Nolan Gorman (18)

RBI:  Alec Burleson (59)

Stolen Bases:  Michael Siani (13)

Wins:  Sonny Gray (10)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (32)

ERA:  Ryan Loutos (0.00)

Batting Average:  Bryan Reynolds (.288)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (115)

Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (18)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (61)

Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (8)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (17)

ERA:  Colin Holderman (1.72)

Managers:

St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (3rd season)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (5th season)