St Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/21/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 21, 2024

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +124, Braves -148; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +125, Braves -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +125, Braves -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

St Louis Cardinals:  50-46 (2nd place, NL Central)

Atlanta Braves:  53-42 (2nd place, NL East)

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St Louis Cardinals:  5-5 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

The Cardinals are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-46 record overall and have a road record of 24-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the series opener and the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday in a double-header. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Kyle Gibson and Sonny Gray are their starting pitchers on Saturday while Miles Mikolas is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-8 with a 5.13 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 4 HR, and 0 BB with 2 Ks on 8 hits through 5.1 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-42 record overall and have a home record of 29-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Cardinals on Sunday with the 1st game and the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday in a double-header. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Charlie Morton and Bryce Elder are their starting pitchers on Saturday while rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-4 with a 4.43 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the San Diego Padres.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 53-42 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked great in their home games this year with their 29-17 home record and they have been getting hot going into the All-Star break, going in at 6-4 in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have looked good in their games this season with their 50-46 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL Central and fighting for a playoff spot again after a terrible start to the season. They haven't looked as good in their road games though with their 24-24 road record. The 1st game of this series was supposed to be on Friday but it was postponed and now these two will be playing a double-header on Saturday. This game on Sunday will favor the Braves though as they do have the better pitching matchup which will be important after a day where they have to play 2 games. They have their rookie Schwellenbach on the mound and he has looked a lot better lately after a rough start to his MLB career. Now he is 3-4 with a 4.43 ERA but hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start as he gets better in each appearance and even his team has won 2 games in a row with him starting now. The Cardinals will have Mikolas on the mound here and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 7-8 with a 5.13 ERA and has been giving up a ton of runs lately. He gave up 6 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him all year and his team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. Everything points to the Braves in this one as they are still trying to chase down the Phillies in 1st place too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Cardinals Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 21, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Braves 8 Cardinals 2.

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St Louis Cardinals: 16-12 (+3.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 28 away games. 20-17 (+5.25 units) on the runline in their last 37 games. 12-7 (+3.95 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 19 away games.

Atlanta Braves: 23-35 (-13.85 units) on the runline in their last 58 games. 29-12 to the under in their last 41 home games. 32-20 to the under with their team total in their last 52 games.

St Louis Cardinals:  M. Siani (CF) Prob Sat - Elbow. S. Matz (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Middleton (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. O'Brien (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Edman (SS) Late May - Wrist. D. Rom (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Laureano (CF) Prob Sat - Back. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Harris II (LF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

“It was a good, tough series.” - Ryan Helsley after their loss against the Cubs in their game on Sunday.

"Talking to him, he was good with just going the five, which I think worked out pretty good. I am really glad we hung on and got him the win." - Brian Snitker on Chris Sale after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Sunday.

M Winn (R) SS

A Burleson (L) LF

W Contreras (R) DH

P Goldschmidt (R) 1B

B Donovan (L) 2B

N Arenado (R) 3B

L Nootbaar (L) RF

P Pagés (R) C

M Siani (L) CF

J Kelenic (L) CF

O Albies (S) 2B

A Riley (R) 3B

M Olson (L) 1B

M Ozuna (R) DH

T d'Arnaud (R) C

E Rosario (L) LF

A Duvall (R) RF

O Arcia (R) SS

Batting Average:  Alec Burleson (.288)

Hits:  Brendan Donovan (98)

Home Runs:  Nolan Gorman (17)

RBI:  Alec Burleson (53)

Stolen Bases:  Michael Siani (10)

Wins:  Sonny Gray (9)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (32)

ERA:  Ryan Loutos (0.00)

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.303)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (107)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (26)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (77)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (13)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (22)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Managers:

St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (3rd season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)