Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 12, 2025
Venue: Finneran Pavilion, Villanova, PA
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: St John’s -2.5, Villanova +2.5; Over/Under: 137.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: St John’s -2.5, Villanova +2.5; Over/Under: 137.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: St John’s -2.5, Villanova +2.5; Over/Under: 137.5 points
Season Record
St John's Red Storm: 21-3 (12-1) (1st place, Big East)
Villanova Wildcats: 14-10 (7-6) (5th place, Big East)
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St John's Red Storm: 5-0 last 5
Villanova Wildcats: 2-3 last 5
St John's Red Storm vs Villanova Wildcats Preview and Analysis
St John’s is entering this game with a 21-3 record overall, a 12-1 record in conference games, and they are 5-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the UConn Huskies in their last game. RJ Luis Jr. led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Kadary Richmond was next on the team with 12. Kadary Richmond led the team in assists with 6 in that game while RJ Luis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 40% from the field, 19% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65 PPG against them. St John’s has an ATS record of 15-8-1 this season and their O/U record is 10-14.
Villanova is entering this game with a 14-10 record overall, a 7-6 conference record, and they are 11-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Xavier Musketeers in their last game. Eric Dixon led the team in points in that game with 24 while Wooga Poplar was next on the team with 23. Jhamir Brickus led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Wooga Poplar led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50.9% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Villanova has an ATS record of 12-12 this season and their O/U record is 15-8-1.
St John's vs Villanova Prediction
The current betting odds have St John's listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. St John's has looked great in their games this season with their 21-3 record overall and their 12-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big East. They have been a great road team so far with their 5-1 road record too. Meanwhile, Villanova has looked good in their games this season with their 14-10 record overall and their 7-6 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big East, but they aren't really a contender in this conference. They have looked good on their home court with their 11-3 home record, but they haven't been able to beat some of the top teams in the conference there. They haven't looked good lately either as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games. St John's has been rolling though, winning 10 games in a row now and coming off a road win over UConn in their last one. They have been tested a lot lately with some of the best teams in the Big East, but they have come out unscathed as it is a new era for St John's under Rick Pitino. St John's has taken a big step this season and they will be looking to continue their streak here as they try to finish the regular season at the top of the Big East. Villanova doesn't have the talent this year to compete with this St John's team, especially on the road here. The best way to place a bet here is on St John's to cover the spread in this game.
St John's Villanova Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 12, 2025 (6:00 pm ET start time) is St John’s 71 Villanova 62.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
St John's Red Storm: 8-4 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 10-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts or more. 16-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 21-11 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 free throws/game or less.
Villanova Wildcats: 4-7 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 16-23 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 4-7 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 12-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 5-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick.
Key Injuries
St John's Red Storm: D. Smith (G) Questionable - Neck. B. Dunlap (F) Out - Hand.
Villanova Wildcats: N. Njoku (F) Out - Knee. M. Thomas (F) Questionable - Knee. M. Hodge (F) Out - Eligibility.
Notable Quotes
“Having a hell of a year. We just got to keep it up.” - Rick Pitino after his team’s win against UConn in their last game.
"I thought they got out way too easily in transition in the first half. They got easy strikes and got into their offense before we had a chance to get settled. Their screening action also hurt us. We locked more with their screening action in the second half and I thought that made a difference.” - Kyle Neptune after his team’s win against Xavier in their last game.
Starting Lineups
St John's Red Storm
Z. Ejiofor
R. Luis
K. Richmond
A. Scott
S. Wilcher
Villanova Wildcats
E. Boakye
J. Brickus
E. Dixon
J. Longino
W. Poplar
Statistical Leaders
St John's Red Storm
PPG: R. Luis (17.6)
APG: K. Richmond (5)
Reb/G: Z. Ejiofor (8.2)
Villanova Wildcats
PPG: E. Dixon (23.8)
APG: J. Brickus (5.5)
Reb/G: W. Poplar (6.4)
Coaches:
St John's Red Storm: Rick Pitino (2nd season)
Villanova Wildcats: Kyle Neptune (3rd season)