SMU Mustangs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/19/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Dec 19, 2021
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 19, 2021
Venue:  University Arena (Basketball Arena, “the Pit”), Albuquerque, NM
Where to Watch:  Stadium

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SMU -6, UNM +6; Over/Under:  157 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  SMU -6.5, UNM +6.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SMU -6.5, UNM +6.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points
 

Season Record

SMU Mustangs:  8-3 (4th place, AAC)
New Mexico Lobos:  6-5 (11th place, MWC)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Will Rogers is on a RUN of NCAAB 16-6 DEC! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

SMU Mustangs vs New Mexico Lobos Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
SMU Mustangs:  5-0 last 5
New Mexico Lobos:  2-3 last 5
 
 
 

SMU Mustangs Analysis

SMU is coming into this game with an 8-3 record overall and they are 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Their last loss was against the Loyola Marymount Lions but they have gone on a 5 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Sam Houston State Bearkats, the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, the UNLV Rebels, the Vanderbilt Commodores, and the Dayton Flyers in their last game. Kendric Davis led the team in points in that game with 19 while Zhuric Phelps was next on the team off the bench with 13 points. Zach Nutall also scored 11 points and Michael Weathers scored 10 points in that one as well. Davis led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Michael Weathers led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 51.9% from the field, 57.1% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.3 PPG against them. SMU has an ATS record of 4-7 this season and their O/U record is 8-3.
 
 

New Mexico Lobos Analysis

UNM is coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 5-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Denver Pioneers while their 2 losses came against the New Mexico State Aggies and the UTEP Miners in their last game. Javonte Johnson led the team in points in that game with 16 while Gethro Muscadin was next on the team with 14 points. Both Saquan Singleton and KJ Jenkins scored 11 points each off the bench in that one as well. Singleton led the team in assists in that game with 5 while he and Johnson both led the team in rebounds with 9 each. They were 39.7% from the field, 22.2% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.8 PPG against them. UNM has an ATS record of 6-3-1 this season and their O/U record is 7-3.
 

 

SMU vs New Mexico Prediction

SMU is coming into this game as a 6 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SMU has been playing much better this season than UNM has been and SMU is on fire recently winning 5 straight games coming into this one. UNM has not been playing well recently with 2 losses in their last 3 games. Both of these teams are averaging around 80 PPG but SMU has a much better defense allowing 10 less points per game and that is going to be the difference in this game as UNM pretty much allows almost as many PPG as they score. The best bet to place in this game is on SMU to cover the spread here.
 
SMU New Mexico Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, December 19, 2021 (3:00 pm ET start time) is SMU 82 UNM 68.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this SMU Mustangs New Mexico Lobos prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.
 

NCAAB Betting Trends

 
SMU Mustangs: 36-22 O/U in all games. 29-15 O/U as a favorite. 8-3 O/U in December games. 5-1 O/U when playing with 7 or more days rest. 19-8 O/U after a non-conference game. 20-8 O/U in non-conference games. 24-10 O/U after one or more consecutive overs. 16-2 O/U after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. 29-13 O/U after playing a game as favorite.
New Mexico Lobos: 7-2 O/U in all games. 7-4 O/U as a home underdog or pick. 18-11 O/U in all home games. 6-2 O/U in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5. 6-2 O/U after a non-conference game. 7-2 O/U in non-conference games. 21-9 O/U after playing a home game.
 

Key Injuries

 
SMU Mustangs:  None.
New Mexico Lobos:  E. Kuac (G) Out indefinitely - Lower Body injury. V. Manuel (F) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“If he was a stock. I’d buy. I think he’s going to have a great future in basketball. I think he’s got all the ingredients.” - Tim Jankovich on Zhuric Phelps this season.
 
 
“I was disappointed with a lot today. We are further away than maybe we think that we are. It is going to take some time to build the toughness and discipline that we clearly don’t have through the face of adversity. Things are going to happen, but you need to move on to the next play. It is on me and the coaching staff to fix it and we have all week to work on it. The group that was out there in the final few minutes, that’s what Lobo basketball needs to be all about.” - Richard Pitino on his team’s loss against UTEP.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
SMU Mustangs
E. Bandoumel 
K. Davis 
I. Jasey 
Z. Nutall 
M. Weathers
 
New Mexico Lobos
J. House 
J. Johnson 
J. Mashburn 
G. Muscadin 
T. Todd
 

Statistical Leaders

 
SMU Mustangs
PPG: K. Davis (20.2)
APG: K. Davis (5.5)
Reb/G: M. Weathers (6.5) 
 
New Mexico Lobos
PPG: J. Mashburn Jr. (18.3)
APG: J. House (4)
Reb/G: J. Johnson (5.9)
 
Coaches:
SMU Mustangs: Tim Jankovich (7th season)
New Mexico Lobos: Richard Pitino (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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