by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 16, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 20, 2024
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Seahawks +2.5, Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 51 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Seahawks +2.5, Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 51 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Seahawks +2.5, Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 51 points
Season Record
Seattle Seahawks: 3-3 (2nd place, NFC West)
Atlanta Falcons: 4-2 (1st place, NFC South)
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Seattle Seahawks: lost their last game at home against the San Francisco 49ers 36-24.
Atlanta Falcons: won their last game on the road against the Carolina Panthers 38-20.
Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons Preview and Analysis
The Seahawks are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 36-24. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 30/52 passes for 312 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Kenneth Walker III led the team in rushing yards with 32 and 1 TD. Tyler Lockett led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Julian Love led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Falcons are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 38-20. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 225 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing yards with 105 and 1 TD. Drake London led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Mike Hughes led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. A.J. Terrell Jr. and Clark Phillips III each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Seahawks vs Falcons Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall and their 3-0 division record which has them at the top of the NFC South. They had a rough start to the season, but now they have been rolling lately with 3 wins in a row and have a ton of momentum on their side. The offense has also looked a lot better in these games as Kirk Cousins is getting into a groove in this offense. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have looked good in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall, but lately they haven't looked so good. They started the season with a 3-0 record overall, but now they have lost 3 games in a row and their defense has been terrible. They have been giving up a ton of points in their games and that isn't going to be good on the road in this one with the Falcons offense looking a lot better lately. The Falcons haven't been great on defense this season, but they have looked a lot better than the Seahawks and they have the edge with the home advantage. Both of these offense can put the points up but it will be the Falcons defense that wins this game for them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Seahawks Falcons Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 20, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 27 Seahawks 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Seattle Seahawks: 8-4 1H ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 10-2 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-2 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 3-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses. 4-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Atlanta Falcons: 17-23 ATS in all games. 7-13 ATS as a favorite. 3-9 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 23-17 UNDER in all games. 8-3 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 4-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.
Key Injuries
Seattle Seahawks: L. Shenault (WR) Injured - Shin. R. Woolen (CB) Out - Ankle. J. Hankins (DT) Injured - Hand. P. Brown (TE) Injured - Groin. R. Jenkins (SS) Injured - Hand. L. Williams (DE) Injured - Ribs. U. Nwosu (LB) Out - Thigh. N. Fant (TE) Injured - Toe. B. Russell (TE) Injured - Shoulder. B. Mafe (LB) Questionable - Knee. D. Metcalf (WR) Injured - Hand. J. Love (FS) Questionable - Hamstring. C. Young (NT) Injured - Knee. D. Hall (OLB) Questionable - Foot. B. Murphy (DT) Out - Hamstring.
Atlanta Falcons: G. Jarrett (DL) Injured - Rest. J. Matthews (T) Injured - Rest. D. Onyemata (DL) Injured - Rest. T. Graham (DL) Injured - Rest. K. McGary (T) Injured - Rest. B. Robinson (RB) Injured - Hamstring. M. Judon (OLB) Injured - Hamstring. N. Landman (LB) Questionable - Calf. D. Mooney (WR) Injured - Knee. D. Alford (CB) Injured - Concussion. T. Andersen (LB) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We're just not doing the things that good football teams do to win football games, and so we're going to attack it. We're going to take a breather here and really go back and dissect the heck out of this thing.” - Mike Macdonald after his team’s loss against the 49ers in their last game.
“Last week we threw it 58 times and threw it for 509 yards, and this week were able to were able to run for (198) and that is the sign of a good football team when you have to find ways to beat them. We are taking what you're giving us and going out there and dealing.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Seahawks
WR Metcalf, DK
WR Lockett, Tyler
WR Smith-Njigba, Jaxon
TE Fant, Noah
QB Smith, Geno
RB Walker III, Kenneth
Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR London, Drake
WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray
TE Pitts, Kyle
QB Cousins, Kirk
RB Robinson, Bijan
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Seahawks
Passing: G. Smith (1778)
Rushing: K. Walker (234)
Receiving: D. Metcalf (469)
Touchdowns: K. Walker (5)
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: K. Cousins (1598)
Rushing: B. Robinson (380)
Receiving: D. London (428)
Touchdowns: D. London (4)
Coaches:
Seattle Seahawks: Mike Macdonald (1st season)
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
