San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, July 19, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  Apple TV+

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

San Diego Padres:  50-49 (3rd place, NL West)

Cleveland Guardians:  58-37 (1st place, AL Central)

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San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-49 record overall and have a road record of 24-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .730 OPS. Randy Vasquez was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Matt Waldron is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-8 with a 3.71 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-37 record overall and have a home record of 30-11. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Ben Lively was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-4 with a 3.77 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 8 strikeouts on 5 hits through 7 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 58-37 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark with their 30-11 home record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 50-49 record overall which has them in playoff conversation, but they are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and were slipping going into the All-Star break. They have been better in their road games with their 24-21 road record, but that's not going to help them against one of the best teams in the American League right now. The Padres don't have a solid starter on the mound either, going with Waldron who is 5-8 with a 3.71 ERA this year. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team hasn't had a ton of success with him, losing 3 games in a row with him starting. The Guardians are going to have Bibee on the mound here and he has looked good in his starts. He is 7-4 with a 3.77 ERA this season and he hasn't been giving up many runs all year. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has now lost 2 games in a row with him starting, but this is a good game for him to bounce back with a better performance and lead the Guardians to a win in their 1st game back from the All-Star break. They also have the much better bullpen to help him out here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game. 

Padres Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 19, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 3 Padres 1.

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San Diego Padres: 5-2 (+4.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 7 games. 29-16 (+13.65 units) on the runline in their last 45 away games. 15-7 to the over in their last 22 games. 

Cleveland Guardians: 5-11 (-6.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 16 games. 25-11 to the over with their team total in their last 36 home games. 57-38 to the over with their team total in their last 95 games.

San Diego Padres:  W. Peralta (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Cosgrove (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We faced some pretty good pitching. That's a good opportunity for us, and I thought our at-bats were good again.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.

“Tough ending to a tough road trip, but couldn’t be more proud of our guys for the first half. And we put ourselves in a great position to come out of the break. I couldn’t be more proud of the work that this group has done.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Sunday.

J Profar (S) LF

D Solano (R) DH

M Machado (R) 3B

X Bogaerts (R) 2B

J Cronenworth (L) 1B

H Kim (R) SS

J Merrill (L) CF

K Higashioka (R) C

B Johnson (S) RF

S Kwan (L) LF

A Martínez (S) CF

J Ramírez (S) DH

J Naylor (L) 1B

W Brennan (L) RF

A Gimenez (L) 2B

D Schneemann (L) 3B

B Naylor (L) C

B Rocchio (S) SS

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (103)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (59)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (18)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (8)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (22)

ERA:  Sean Reynolds (0.00)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.352)

Hits:  José Ramírez (100)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (23)

RBI:  José Ramírez (77)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (18)

Wins:  Logan Allen (8)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (29)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)