San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 28, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +140, Orioles -166; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +140, Orioles -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +140, Orioles -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

San Diego Padres:  56-50 (2nd place, NL West)

Baltimore Orioles:  61-42 (1st place, AL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! AAA Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on an 18-8 MLB RUN for +$6,770 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

San Diego Padres:  7-3 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

The Padres are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-50 record overall and have a road record of 30-22. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Padres won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Michael King is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Randy Vásquez is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-5 with a 4.17 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 1 K on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-42 record overall and have a home record of 30-23. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Orioles lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Albert Suárez is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-4 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits through 2 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 61-42 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 30-23 home record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 56-50 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West and back in the playoff race. They have looked better in their road games too with their 30-22 road record. The Orioles were struggling going into the All-Star break and those struggles have continued out of the break with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The Padres have been really hot though, going 7-3 in their last 10 games now. They are going to have Vasquez on the mound here and he has looked good in his starts lately. He is 3-5 with a 4.17 ERA but he gave up no runs in his last start and the team has won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. The Orioles will have Suarez on the mound here and he is 5-4 with a 3.48 ERA, but he hasn't looked good in his starts lately. He gave up 6 earned runs in his last start against one of the worst teams and offenses in the MLB this season, the Miami Marlins, and the team has now lost 2 games in a row with his starting too. The Padres have the much better pitching matchup in this one and they have been the hotter team lately. They are also going to be motivated on their win streak as they are playing themselves back into the Wild Card while the Orioles haven't been able to break out of their recent funk. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.

Padres Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 28, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Padres 6 Orioles 3.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this San Diego Padres Baltimore Orioles prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

San Diego Padres: 12-3 (+10.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 15 away games. 24-12 (+11.75 units) on the runline in their last 36 away games. 16-8 to the under in their last 24 games. 

Baltimore Orioles: 12-18 (-13.65 units) on the moneyline in their last 30 games. 12-18 (-9.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 30 games. 18-11 to the under with their team total in their last 29 games.

San Diego Padres:  W. Peralta (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. A. Suarez (RP) Ques Sat - Shin. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“We don't expect no-hitters or complete games, but his ability to get a complete game completely set us up for today. And then, gosh, not one guy that really wasn't on point.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Friday.

“The mindset changes a little bit when you're winning and you're anxious to see what's going to happen and what moves are going to be made. I think it's a lot harder, honestly, when you're talking about losing teammates and losing players that are helping you.” - Brandon Hyde on the upcoming trade deadline this season.

L Arraez (L) DH

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 1B

M Machado (R) 3B

X Bogaerts (R) 2B

J Merrill (L) CF

D Peralta (L) RF

H Kim (R) SS

L Campusano (R) C

G Henderson (L) SS

A Rutschman (S) C

A Santander (S) RF

R O'Hearn (L) DH

J Westburg (R) 3B

H Kjerstad (L) LF

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Cowser (L) CF

C Norby (R) 2B

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (111)

Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (18)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (66)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (19)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (10)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (23)

ERA:  Sean Reynolds (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Anthony Santander (115)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (29)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (68)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (17)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (12)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)