San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2024

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 27, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

San Diego Padres:  55-50 (2nd place, NL West)

Baltimore Orioles:  61-41 (1st place, AL East)

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San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

The Padres are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-50 record overall and have a road record of 29-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Rookie pitcher Adam Mazur is their starting pitcher on Friday while Michael King is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-6 with a 3.28 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 2 hits through 7 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-41 record overall and have a home record of 30-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-6 with a 4.43 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 61-41 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 30-22 home record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 55-50 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West and back in the playoff race. They have looked better in their road games too with their 29-22 road record. The Padres have looked better in their games lately, going 6-4 in their last 10, while the Orioles are only 4-6 and have struggled out of the All-Star break, losing their last series to the Marlins who are one of the worst teams in the MLB this season. The Padres have looked better and they are also going to have the better pitching matchup here with King on the mound. King is 8-6 with a 3.28 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him, and the team has had a ton of success with him on the mound, winning 3 of the last 4 games he started in. The Orioles are going to have Kremer on the mound here and he has definitely been a weak spot for them this season. He is 4-6 with a 4.43 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and has struggled to keep opponents off the board. The team hasn't had a lot of success with him lately either, losing 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Padres are getting really hot now as they look to get themselves in a position to make the playoffs in a Wild Card spot, and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup against an Orioles team that has been struggling lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game. 

Padres Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 27, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Padres 6 Orioles 2.

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San Diego Padres: 29-21 (+8.60 units) on the moneyline in their last 50 away games. 35-17 (+18.60 units) on the runline in their last 52 away games. 16-7 to the under in their last 23 games. 

Baltimore Orioles: 12-17 (-12.55 units) on the moneyline in their last 29 games. 12-17 (-8.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 29 games. 18-10 to the under with their team total in their last 28 games.

San Diego Padres:  W. Peralta (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. A. Suarez (RP) Ques Fri - Shin. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“Joe is like, `His stuff is pretty good.’ Well, he’s thrown one. He knows what this looks like. We let him ride.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s win against the Nationals in their game on Thursday.

“We swung the bats really well to start the game and we don’t add on. We’ve done this too many times and we have to learn to be able to step on people and make it easier on ourselves.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Thursday.

J Profar (S) LF

D Solano (R) 3B

X Bogaerts (R) 2B

M Machado (R) DH

J Cronenworth (L) 1B

H Kim (R) SS

J Merrill (L) CF

L Campusano (R) C

B Johnson (S) RF

G Henderson (L) SS

J Westburg (R) 3B

A Santander (S) RF

R O'Hearn (L) DH

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Cowser (L) CF

A Hays (R) LF

C Norby (R) 2B

J McCann (R) C

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (109)

Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (16)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (62)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (19)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (10)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (23)

ERA:  Sean Reynolds (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (114)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (28)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (67)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (17)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (12)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)