San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2024

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 26, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +170, Orioles -205; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +170, Orioles -205; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +170, Orioles -205; Over/Under:  9 runs

San Diego Padres:  54-50 (2nd place, NL West)

Baltimore Orioles:  60-41 (1st place, AL East)

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San Diego Padres:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  3-7 last 10

The Padres won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-50 record overall and have a road record of 28-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have the series finale of their series against the Washington Nationals still to be played on Thursday. The Padres won the series opener of that series on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Dylan Cease is their starting pitcher on Thursday while rookie pitcher Adam Mazur is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-3 with a 7.84 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 4.2 IP against the Seattle Mariners.

The Orioles won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-41 record overall and have a home record of 30-22. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Friday with the 3rd game of their series against the Miami Marlins still to be played on Thursday. The Orioles lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .767 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 12-4 with a 3.83 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 8 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 60-41 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 30-22 home record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 54-50 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West and back in the playoff race. They have looked better in their road games too with their 28-22 road record. The Padres have looked a lot better in their games lately while the Orioles haven't, but the Orioles do have the more favorable pitching matchup in this one. They are going with Rodriguez in this one and he has been one of their best starters all season. He is 12-4 with a 3.83 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all season. He leads the starting rotation in wins with 12 and the team has won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. He also gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him this year. The Padres are going with their rookie Masur in this one and he hasn't looked great in his few starts this season. He is 1-3 with a 7.84 ERA and hasn't been keeping many runs off the board. His team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but he gave up 5 earned runs in his last start and he will get himself into trouble against this Orioles lineup that is one of the best in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Padres Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 26, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Padres 3.

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San Diego Padres: 10-3 (+8.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 13 away games. 30-17 (+12.95 units) on the runline in their last 47 away games. 16-6 to the under in their last 22 games. 

Baltimore Orioles: 12-16 (-10.60 units) on the moneyline in their last 28 games. 11-17 (-9.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 28 games. 17-10 to the under with their team total in their last 27 games. 

San Diego Padres:  W. Peralta (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Cosgrove (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. A. Suarez (RP) Ques Thurs - Shin. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“We don’t always get the results every night, but generally speaking, more than not we take relentless at bats.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s win against the Nationals in their game on Wednesday.

“We had three pretty good at-bats in front of it. Three good at-bats in a row, we haven’t had that in a few games. We need more of that.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.

J Profar (S) LF

D Solano (R) 3B

X Bogaerts (R) 2B

M Machado (R) DH

J Cronenworth (L) 1B

H Kim (R) SS

J Merrill (L) CF

L Campusano (R) C

B Johnson (S) RF

G Henderson (L) SS

J Westburg (R) 3B

A Santander (S) RF

R O'Hearn (L) DH

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Cowser (L) CF

A Hays (R) LF

C Norby (R) 2B

J McCann (R) C

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (108)

Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (16)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (62)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (19)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (9)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (23)

ERA:  Sean Reynolds (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (113)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (28)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (67)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (12)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)