Purdue Boilermakers vs UConn Huskies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 04/08/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Apr 07, 2024
Game Time: 9:20 pm ET, Monday, April 8, 2024
Venue:  State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue +6, UConn -6; Over/Under:  146 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue +6, UConn -6; Over/Under:  146 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue +6.5, UConn -6.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Season Record

Purdue Boilermakers:  34-4 (17-3) (1st place, Big Ten)
UConn Huskies:  36-3 (18-2) (1st place, Big East)

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Recent Form
Purdue Boilermakers:  5-0  last 5
UConn Huskies:  5-0  last 5


Purdue Boilermakers vs UConn Huskies Preview and Analysis


Purdue is entering this game with a 34-4 record overall, a 17-3 record in conference games, and they are 11-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the North Carolina State Wolfpack in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Lance Jones was next on the team with 14. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 40% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 90% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 21-15-2 this season and their O/U record is 23-15.


UConn is entering this game with a 36-3 record overall, an 18-2 conference record, and they are 11-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Stephon Castle led the team in points in that game with 21 while Donovan Clingan was next on the team with 18. Tristen Newton led the team in assists with 9 in that game while Cam Spencer and Alex Karaban each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.5 PPG against them. UConn has an ATS record of 27-12 this season and their O/U record is 16-22-1.



Purdue vs UConn Prediction

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 34-4 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They looked great in the Big Ten this season with their 17-3 conference record and they have also been great in their neutral site games with their 11-1 record in those games. Meanwhile, UConn has also looked great in their games this season with their 36-3 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and ranked as the best team in the nation. They have looked great in the Big East this year with their 18-2 conference record and they have also looked great in their neutral site games with their 11-0 record in those. Both of these teams have been ranked inside the top 5 all season and also ranked as some of the best teams in the nation. UConn has been blowing teams out in every game of this tournament but Purdue has also looked just as good in some of their blowout wins. Purdue also looked a lot better in the Final Four since they were in control of their game the entire time while UConn struggled to shake Alabama until near the end of the game. UConn has been great in this tournament and could win this game with the National Championship, but this is too many points for them to cover in what should be a closer game. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.

Purdue UConn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, April 8, 2024 (9:20 pm ET start time) is UConn 74 Purdue 70.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Purdue Boilermakers: 10-21 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins. 7-16 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. 1-5 ATS in tournament championship games. 7-2 UNDER in NCAA tournament games. 21-9 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. 9-4 UNDER as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.

UConn Huskies: 27-12 ATS in all games. 11-1 ATS in all neutral court games. 21-6 ATS in all tournament games. 9-3 UNDER in all neutral court games. 17-10 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more. 13-7 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Key Injuries


Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

UConn Huskies:  None.

Notable Quotes


“Obviously it was one of those grinder games." - Matt Painter after his team’s win against NC State in their last game in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday.


“Our identity is to be pretty relentless. We might not break you for 18 minutes, 25 minutes, but at some point if what we're doing at both ends and on the backboard is at a high level, it just becomes hard for the other team to sustain it.” - Dan Hurley after his team’s win against Alabama in their last game in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey 
L. Jones 
T. Kaufman-Renn 
F. Loyer 
B. Smith

UConn Huskies
S. Castle 
D. Clingan 
A. Karaban 
T. Newton 
C. Spencer

Statistical Leaders


Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: Z. Edey (24.2)
APG: B. Smith (7.2)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (11.7)

UConn Huskies
PPG: T. Newton (15)
APG: T. Newton (5.8)
Reb/G: T. Newton (7.1)

Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)
UConn Huskies: Dan Hurley (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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