Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/05/2024

Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Thursday, December 5, 2024

Venue:  Bryce Jordan Center, State College, PA 

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue +1, PSU -1; Over/Under:  149.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue +1, PSU -1; Over/Under:  149.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue +1, PSU -1; Over/Under:  149.5 points

Purdue Boilermakers:  7-1 (0-0) (8th place, Big Ten)

Penn State Nittany Lions:  7-1 (0-0) (6th place, Big Ten)

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Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

Penn State Nittany Lions:  4-1  last 5

Purdue is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall, a 0-0 record in conference games, and they are 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ole Miss Rebels in their last game. Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in points per game in that game with 25 while Myles Colvin was next on the team with 20. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 11 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 54.2% from the field, 45.5% from 3-point range, and 69.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 4-4 this season and their O/U record is 4-4.

Penn State is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall, a 0-0 conference record, and they are 5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Buffalo Bulls in their last game. Yanic Konan Niederhauser led the team in points in that game with 27 while Freddie Dilione V was next on the team with 16. Adrian Baldwin Jr. led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Puff Johnson led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 56.5% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 61.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 91.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.5 PPG against them. Penn State has an ATS record of 4-4 this season and their O/U record is 3-5.

The current betting odds have Penn State listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. This is going to be their first conference game of the season, but they are at home and have looked great on their home court this season with their 5-0 home record. Meanwhile, Purdue has also looked really good in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They have looked good in their games lately too, but this is their first conference game of the season and it isn't going to be easy since it is also just their 2nd road game of the season. They didn't look good in their only road game either, losing it against Marquette by almost 20 points. Penn State had their 1 loss this season come against Clemson, but Clemson has had a really good start to the season and Penn State still kept that game close. Purdue has lost a lot of talent over the last few years and this isn't the same team that led the Big Ten last season. Penn State can take advantage of this weaker Purdue at home and they are going to bring their best effort for this first conference game since this is their chance to show Purdue that this isn't Purdue's conference to win this season. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game.

Purdue Penn State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, December 5, 2024 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Penn State 77 Purdue 72.

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Purdue Boilermakers: 7-13 ATS in road games. 19-25 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 4-7 ATS in December games. 12-2 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts. 10-5 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 28-17 OVER versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots or more.

Penn State Nittany Lions: 8-3 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts or more. 20-13 ATS after playing a home game. 7-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 23-14 OVER in all home games. 7-0 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 23-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  None.

"I think once you can get through your first year and get to your second year and retain people, which they have, I think that really helps. Obviously, (Yanic Konan Niederhauser) has really helped them. He gives them another dynamic.” - Matt Painter on his team’s upcoming game against Penn State this week.

“Show up and sweat with us right? A Big Ten game, that’s the fun of it. These are the experiences that, as a college student, they have a lot of fun. Our players will be fired up to play against one of the best programs in the country for the last 10 years.” - Mike Rhoades on his team’s upcoming game against Purdue this week.

W. Berg 

G. Harris 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

A. Baldwin 

F. Dilione 

Z. Hicks 

P. Johnson 

Y. Konan Niederhauser

PPG: T. Kaufman-Renn (19.1)

APG: B. Smith (9.1)

Reb/G: T. Kaufman-Renn (7.1)

PPG: A. Baldwin (14.9)

APG: A. Baldwin (8.4)

Reb/G: Y. Konan Niederhauser (6.5)

Coaches:

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (20th season)

Penn State Nittany Lions: Mike Rhoades (2nd season)