Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/09/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 9, 2024

Venue:  Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue +38, OSU -38; Over/Under:  53 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue +38, OSU -38; Over/Under:  53 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue +38.5, OSU -38.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Purdue Boilermakers:  1-7 (0-5) (18th place, Big Ten)

Ohio State Buckeyes:  7-1 (4-1) (3rd place, Big Ten)

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Purdue Boilermakers:  lost their last game at home against the Northwestern Wildcats 26-20 in overtime. 

Ohio State Buckeyes:  won their last game on the road against the Penn State Nittany Lions 20-13.

Purdue is entering this game with a 1-7 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their conference games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Northwestern Wildcats 26-20 in OT. Hudson Card was the starting QB and he completed 21/37 passes for 267 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing yards with 29 and 1 TD. Max Klare led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Dillon Thieneman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kydran Jenkins and Cole Brevard each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Antonio Stevens came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Ohio State is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Penn State 20-13. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 16/24 passes for 182 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 95. Jeremiah Smith led the receivers with 55 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Cody Simon led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Cody Simon led the defense in sacks with 1. Davison Igbinosun came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Ohio State listed as a 38 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ohio State has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 4-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten and ranked as one of the best teams in the nation. They just pulled off a big win in their last one too, beating Penn State on the road who were one of the undefeated teams left in the Big Ten. Now there are only 2 undefeated teams left in the Big Ten, but with Indiana still on their schedule, Ohio State is going to have a ton of momentum on their side from that win as they now have a real chance to get into the Big Ten Championship and take another shot at Oregon who beat them. Meanwhile, Purdue has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-7 record overall and their 0-5 conference record which has them at the bottom of the Big Ten. Their offense has looked terrible all year and their defense hasn't been any better either. This is a great game for Ohio State right after that big win and they will use this game to fine tune things now that they have a ton of momentum for this final stretch of the season. Purdue won't be able to do much on offense against this Ohio State defense that hasn't been giving up many points all year, and Purdue will struggle to stop this offense that has looked better lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Ohio State to cover the spread in this game. 

Purdue Ohio State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 9, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 49 Purdue 3.

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Purdue Boilermakers: 11-23 ATS in all lined games. 7-15 ATS as an underdog. 8-16 ATS against conference opponents. 3-8 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 10-5 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 6-0 OVER off a home loss against a conference rival. 12-7 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 

Ohio State Buckeyes: 7-3 ATS off a road win. 6-3 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 4-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 4-0 OVER as a home favorite of 35.5 to 42 points. 5-1 OVER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 

Purdue Boilermakers:  D. Lewis (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Coly (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Dinkins (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sales (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Berglund (LB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Madden (DE) Out - Undisclosed. M. Brown (DB) Out - Personal. J. Bouldin (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

Ohio State Buckeyes:  R. Stocksdale (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Michalski (OL) Questionable - Lower Body. W. Kacmarek (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Simmons (OL) Out - Knee. T. Caffey (RB) Out - Knee.

“If we would have been a little bit closer. In that situation, we felt like getting a first down would have been a higher probability and would also allow us to get into the end zone. They had been moving the ball pretty well as well, so I was feeling like we had a better chance to win the game if we got that first down.” - Ryan Walters after his team’s loss against NW in their last game. 

“Winning a game like that in my home state, it’s unbelievable.” - Will Howard after their win against PSU in their last game. 

WR Morrissette, De'Nylon

WR Edrine, Jahmal 

WR Tibbs, Jaron

TE Klare, Max 

QB Browne, Ryan

RB Mockobee, Devin

WR Smith, Jeremiah

WR Tate, Carnell 

WR Egbuka, Emeka 

TE Scott Jr., Gee 

QB Howard, Will 

RB Henderson, TreVeyon

Passing: H. Card (1005)

Rushing: D. Mockobee (539)

Receiving: M. Klare (462)

Touchdowns: D. Mockobee (4)

Passing: W. Howard (1977)

Rushing: Q. Judkins (615)

Receiving: J. Smith (678)

Touchdowns: J. Smith (9)

Coaches:

Purdue Boilermakers: Ryan Walters (2nd season)

Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (7th season)