by Al McMordie
Tuesday, Dec 17, 2024The 2nd Annual NBA Cup concludes tonight with the Milwaukee Bucks taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder, in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Thunder have been installed as a 5-point favorite, and the Over/Under is 216.5 (all odds courtesy of BetAnySports).
There have been 133 games (120 Group Play; 13 Knockout Round) played in this in-season tournament , so there's admittedly not yet a ton of data. When one looks at all 253 games, we get the following:
Home Teams: 68-57-3 ATS
Road Teams: 57-68-3 ATS
Overs: 65-67-1
Unders: 67-65-1
Favorites: 65-65-3 ATS
Underdogs: 65-65-3 ATS
Revenge-minded Teams: 24-29-1 ATS
Off Win (vs Foe off Loss): 37-33-3 ATS
Off Upset Loss (vs Foe not off Upset Loss): 23-12-1 ATS
Off Upset Win (vs Foe not off Upset Win): 25-22-1 ATS
Off SU/ATS Win (vs Foe not off SU/ATS Win): 41-33-3 ATS
Off SU/ATS Loss (vs Foe not off SU/ATS Loss): 34-28-3 ATS
There is, however, one trend emerging that bears watching. And that relates specifically to Knockout Round games. After the 30 teams participate in the Group Play games, the eight teams with the best records move on to the Knockout Round. The Knockout Round games are single-elimination games. In this respect, they're similar to an NBA Playoff game or a Play-in Tournament game, where at least one team faces elimination.
Coming into tonight's NBA Cup Championship game, there have been 13 Knockout Round games played. And 10 of the 13 have gone Under the total, including both games (Bucks/Hawks; Thunder/Rockets) played this past Saturday. The reason this trend bears watching is that the Under has also cashed in other types of NBA elimination games. Since the 1990-91 season, NBA Playoff elimination games have gone Under 407-349-13. And elimination games in the Play-in Tournament have also seen the Under prevail, with a 9-6-1 mark. Combined, then, with our 10-3 Under record in Knockout Round games, we have an aggregate record of 426-358-14 Under (54.3%) for any type of elimination game.
Good luck, as always,
Al McMordie
There have been 133 games (120 Group Play; 13 Knockout Round) played in this in-season tournament , so there's admittedly not yet a ton of data. When one looks at all 253 games, we get the following:
Home Teams: 68-57-3 ATS
Road Teams: 57-68-3 ATS
Overs: 65-67-1
Unders: 67-65-1
Favorites: 65-65-3 ATS
Underdogs: 65-65-3 ATS
Revenge-minded Teams: 24-29-1 ATS
Off Win (vs Foe off Loss): 37-33-3 ATS
Off Upset Loss (vs Foe not off Upset Loss): 23-12-1 ATS
Off Upset Win (vs Foe not off Upset Win): 25-22-1 ATS
Off SU/ATS Win (vs Foe not off SU/ATS Win): 41-33-3 ATS
Off SU/ATS Loss (vs Foe not off SU/ATS Loss): 34-28-3 ATS
There is, however, one trend emerging that bears watching. And that relates specifically to Knockout Round games. After the 30 teams participate in the Group Play games, the eight teams with the best records move on to the Knockout Round. The Knockout Round games are single-elimination games. In this respect, they're similar to an NBA Playoff game or a Play-in Tournament game, where at least one team faces elimination.
Coming into tonight's NBA Cup Championship game, there have been 13 Knockout Round games played. And 10 of the 13 have gone Under the total, including both games (Bucks/Hawks; Thunder/Rockets) played this past Saturday. The reason this trend bears watching is that the Under has also cashed in other types of NBA elimination games. Since the 1990-91 season, NBA Playoff elimination games have gone Under 407-349-13. And elimination games in the Play-in Tournament have also seen the Under prevail, with a 9-6-1 mark. Combined, then, with our 10-3 Under record in Knockout Round games, we have an aggregate record of 426-358-14 Under (54.3%) for any type of elimination game.
Good luck, as always,
Al McMordie
