by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 18, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, November 21, 2024
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers -4, Browns +4; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers -3.5, Browns +3.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers -3.5, Browns +3.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 8-2 (1st place, AFC North)
Cleveland Browns: 2-8 (4th place, AFC North)
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Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 18-16.
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 35-14.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 18-16. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 23/36 passes for 205 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 63. George Pickens led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt and Dean Lowry each led the defense in sacks with 1. Payton Wilson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Browns are entering this game with a 2-8 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New Orleans Saints 35-14. Jameis Winston was the starting QB and he completed 30/46 passes for 395 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing yards with 50. Jerry Jeudy led the receivers with 142 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Devin Bush led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Ogbonnia Okoronkwo led the defense in sacks with 1. Denzel Ward came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Steelers vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked great in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall which has them leading the AFC North with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have looked just as good in their road games with their 4-1 road record this season and they have a ton of momentum on their side since they are coming off a big divisional win against the Ravens in their last one. Meanwhile, the Browns have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-8 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC North with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They have looked terrible at home with their 1-4 home record and they are coming off another loss to the Saints in their last one. They got that 1 win against the Ravens a few weeks ago when Jameis Winston was just getting his shot in this offense, but the magic has faded since that win and this Browns team has reverted back to their struggling ways. The offense has been struggling all season to put up points and even their defense hasn't looked as good as it has in previous years. The Steelers have one of the best defenses in the NFL so the Browns aren't going to do much on offense here, and that Steelers offense has also been rolling since giving Russell Wilson the nod. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, November 21, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Steelers 27 Browns 7.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 15-8 ATS in road games. 9-4 ATS versus division opponents. 11-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 11-3 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 11-3 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 9-2 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points. 8-3 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Cleveland Browns: 1-4 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 8-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 7-4 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: C. Trice (DB) Out - Hamstring. C. Henderson (CB) Out - Neck. J. Warren (RB) Questionable - Back. N. Harris (RB) Injured - Ankle. D. Jackson (CB) Injured - Hamstring. A. Highsmith (LB) Out - Ankle. V. Jefferson (WR) Injured - Quadricep. C. Heyward (DT) Injured - NIR-Rest. M. Pruitt (TE) Doubtful - Knee. I. Seumalo (G) Injured - NIR-Rest. N. Herbig (LB) Injured - Hamstring.
Cleveland Browns: J. Wills (T) Out - Knee. M. Hall (DT) Out - Knee. J. Bitonio (G) Injured - Pectoral. J. Hicks (LB) Injured - Elbow. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. D. Thompson-Robinson (QB) Injured - Right Finger.
Notable Quotes
"One man's trash is another man's treasure, man. I'm glad he is on our team." - Mike Tomlin on Patrick Queen after his team’s win against the Ravens in their last game.
“In this game, you have to play clean on all three sides of the ball, and certainly in the fourth quarter we did not do that. Anytime you lose like we did by 21, you don’t feel good about anything.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Saints in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Jefferson, Van
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Wilson, Russell
RB Harris, Najee
Cleveland Browns
WR Tillman, Cedric
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Winston, Jameis
RB Chubb, Nick
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: J. Fields (1106)
Rushing: N. Harris (708)
Receiving: G. Pickens (728)
Touchdowns: J. Fields (5)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (1148)
Rushing: J. Ford (279)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (560)
Touchdowns: C. Tillman (3)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (18th season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
