Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/14/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 14, 2024

Venue:  Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Steelers +10, Bills -10; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Steelers +10, Bills -10; Over/Under:  37.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Steelers +10, Bills -10; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Pittsburgh Steelers:  10-7 (3rd place, AFC North)

Buffalo Bills:  11-6 (1st place, AFC East)

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Pittsburgh Steelers:  won their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 17-10.

Buffalo Bills:  won their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 21-14.

The Steelers are entering this game with a 10-7 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-4 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 17-10. Mason Rudolph was the starting QB and he completed 18/20 passes for 152 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 112 and 1 TD. Diontae Johnson led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Rowe led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Bills are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 21-14. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 30/38 passes for 359 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Josh Allen led the team in rushing yards with 67. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 105 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jordan Poyer led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Tyrel Dodson led the defense in sacks with 1. Christian Benford and Taylor Rapp each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Bills listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills have looked good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall which won the AFC East after they beat the Dolphins in their final game of the regular season. The Bills have been playing playoff football over the last few weeks now as they have had to pretty much run the table to get in which they did and they have beaten some pretty good teams during that time too. Meanwhile, the Steelers have also looked good in their games this season with their 10-7 record overall which secured them a Wild Card spot. The Steelers have also been playing playoff football over the last few weeks as they were in a similar situation and they have looked really good in their games with Mason Rudolph leading the offense now. This is where the Steelers streak will come to an end though as they are playing a much tougher team in Buffalo and the Steelers offense just hasn't been that consistent. They barely scraped by the Ravens last week who had a skeleton crew on the field and now they are on the road with the Bills just gaining momentum each week with every win they have picked up to get here and win their division once again. The Bills have all the momentum on their side here and they have been a juggernaut at home all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game. 

Steelers Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 14, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 31 Steelers 13.

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Pittsburgh Steelers: 47-27 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 27-17 ATS after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. 6-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-6 UNDER in all games. 7-3 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-3 UNDER off a road win.

Buffalo Bills: 5-12 ATS off a division game. 7-13 ATS in playoff games. 6-12 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins. 11-6 UNDER in all games. 30-18 UNDER as a favorite. 6-1 UNDER against AFC North division opponents.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  T. Watt (LB) day-to-day - Knee. T. Thompson (DB) day-to-day - Neck. M. Fitzpatrick (S) day-to-day - Knee. D. Kazee (S) out for season - Suspension. K. Neal (S) Out indefinitely - Ribs. K. Alexander (LB) I-R - Achilles. C. Holcomb (LB) I-R - Knee. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.

Buffalo Bills:  K. Elam (CB) day-to-day - Ankle. D. Hamlin (S) day-to-day - Shoulder. G. Davis (WR) day-to-day - Knee. J. Shorter (WR) I-R - Hamstring. J. Phillips (DT) Out indefinitely - Wrist. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

“It was probably the most challenging weather I've had to deal with in my career.” - Mason Rudolph after their win against the Ravens in their last game. 

“What a resilient group. So proud of our guys. They battled their tails off. The final couple of drives I felt we found a groove on the offensive side of the ball. The ball was coming out of my hands the best all year.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Dolphins in their last game. 

WR Pickens, George 

WR Johnson, Diontae  

WR Robinson II, Allen 

TE Freiermuth, Pat   

QB Rudolph, Mason 

RB Harris, Najee

WR Diggs, Stefon 

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Shakir, Khalil  

TE Kincaid, Dalton  

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Cook, James 

FB Gilliam, Reggie

Passing: K. Pickett (2070)

Rushing: N. Harris (1035)

Receiving: G. Pickens (1140)

Touchdowns: N. Harris (8)

Passing: J. Allen (4306)

Rushing: J. Cook (1122)

Receiving: S. Diggs (1183)

Touchdowns: J. Allen (15)

Coaches:

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)