Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/11/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 11, 2025

Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD 

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Steelers +9.5, Ravens -9.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Steelers +9.5, Ravens -9.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Steelers +9.5, Ravens -9.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Pittsburgh Steelers:  10-7 (2nd place, AFC North)

Baltimore Ravens:  12-5 (1st place, AFC North)

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Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals 19-17.

Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 35-10.

The Steelers finished the NFL regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 3-3 in their divisional games. They were 5-3 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 19-17. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 17/31 passes for 148 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 36 and 1 TD. Pat Freiermuth led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Cory Trice Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Keeanu Benton, Patrick Queen, Preston Smith, and Nick Herbig each led the defense in sacks with 1. Beanie Bishop Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Ravens finished the NFL regular season with a 12-5 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 6-2 in their home games, 6-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 35-10. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 16/32 passes for 217 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 138 and 2 TDs. Rashod Bateman led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Odafe Oweh led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Odafe Oweh and Kyle Van Noy each led the defense in sacks with 1. Nate Wiggins and Michael Pierce each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Ravens listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Ravens have looked really good in their games this season with their 12-5 record overall which leads the AFC North and has them as the 3rd seed in the AFC. They are coming off a 35-10 win over the Browns last week which clinched the division for them and they have been getting really hot over the last few weeks, winning 4 games in a row now and going into the playoffs with a lot of momentum. Meanwhile, the Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 10-7 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC North, but that record also has them as the 6th seed in the AFC and taking on a divisional opponent in this Wild Card Round. The Steelers split their 2 games with the Ravens this season and Tomlin has had this Ravens team's number over the last few years, but their last meeting in Baltimore was a disaster for the Steelers. The Steelers lost that game by double digits and they have been limping into the playoffs as they have looked terrible over the last month. They are coming off a loss to the Bengals in their last one and they have no momentum on their side with 4 losses in a row now. They have been giving up more points on defense over the last month and their offense has been struggling to score too. Even in their win at home against the Ravens this season, they won that game without scoring a TD as their offense struggled a lot. These two teams have been going in different directions over the last month and this game is going to look a lot like their meeting in Baltimore just a few weeks ago. The best way to place a bet here is on the Ravens to cover the spread in this game. 

Steelers Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 11, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Ravens 31 Steelers 12.

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Pittsburgh Steelers: 2-5 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 rushing yards/game or less. 3-7 1H ATS revenging a loss against an opponent. 5-14 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 14-4 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-2 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 8-2 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Baltimore Ravens: 31-22 ATS in all games. 21-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-5 ATS after playing a division game. 17-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 7-2 UNDER off a win against a division rival. 4-1 UNDER off a home win against a division rival. 12-5 1H UNDER after playing a division game.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  M. Williams (WR) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Matakevich (LB) Injured - Knee. I. Seumalo (G) Injured - NIR - Rest. B. Skowronek (WR) Out - Hip. J. Porter (CB) Out - Knee. D. Jackson (CB) Injured - Back. J. Fields (QB) Questionable - Abdominal. E. Roberts (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. D. Elliott (SAF) Injured - Hamstring. G. Pickens (WR) Injured - Hamstring. T. Watt (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. L. Ogunjobi (DT) Injured - Groin. C. Heyward (DT) Injured - NIR - Rest.

Baltimore Ravens:  T. White (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. T. Linderbaum (C) Injured - Back. Z. Flowers (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. B. Brade (SAF) Injured - Shoulder. N. Agholor (WR) Out - Concussion. J. Hill (RB) Out - Concussion. J. Armour-Davis (CB) Out - Hamstring. D. Faalele (T) Injured - Knee.

“We’re in a single-elimination tournament now, so we better turn our attention toward playing good football and better than we have particularly in recent weeks.” - Mike Tomlin after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their regular season finale. 

"He's just one of a kind. There's nobody like Lamar Jackson. He's in the locker room, and he's not happy about the last drive, he wants everything to be perfect, everything. That's why these numbers are the way they are, because of who he is." - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Browns in their regular season finale.

WR Pickens, George 

WR Jefferson, Van 

WR Austin III, Calvin

TE Freiermuth, Pat

QB Wilson, Russell 

RB Warren, Jaylen

FB Heyward, Connor

WR Bateman, Rashod

WR Walker, Devontez

WR Flowers, Zay

TE Andrews, Mark 

QB Jackson, Lamar

RB Henry, Derrick 

FB Ricard, Patrick

Passing: R. Wilson (2482)

Rushing: N. Harris (1043)

Receiving: G. Pickens (900)

Touchdowns: P. Freiermuth (7)

Passing: L. Jackson (4172)

Rushing: D. Henry (1921)

Receiving: Z. Flowers (1059)

Touchdowns: D. Henry (18)

Coaches:

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (18th season)

Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (17th season)