by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jan 02, 2024
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Saturday, January 6, 2024
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch: ESPN, ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers -4, Ravens +4; Over/Under: 37 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers -4, Ravens +4; Over/Under: 36.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers -4, Ravens +4; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7 (3rd place, AFC North)
Baltimore Ravens: 13-3 (1st place, AFC North)
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 30-23.
Baltimore Ravens: won their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 56-19.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with a 9-7 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-4 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 30-23. Mason Rudolph was the starting QB and he completed 18/24 passes for 274 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 122 and 2 TDs. George Pickens led the receivers with 131 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Eric Rowe led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Nick Herbig led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Ravens are entering this game with a 13-3 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 56-19. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 18/21 passes for 321 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 68 and 1 TD. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Geno Stone led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Justin Madubuike, Odafe Oweh, and Kyle Van Noy each led the defense in sacks with 1. Geno Stone and Roquan Smith each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Steelers vs Ravens Prediction
The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 9-7 record overall which marks another season that Tomlin has had a winning record with this team. They have also looked great in the division with their 4-1 division record and they still have a chance to make the playoffs with a Wild Card in the AFC so they need to win this game. Meanwhile, the Ravens have looked great in their games all season with their 13-3 record overall which is the best record in the NFL right now and also just locked up the number 1 seed in the AFC. They have already locked up their division and the number 1 seed so they don't need to try in this game and they will likely rest a good majority of their starters here so they can stay healthy for the playoffs. Even when healthy, the Ravens have struggled more in their own division this year with 2 of their 3 losses coming against division opponents so the Steelers are in a great situation here since they need to win this game and they will likely be getting a 2nd string and beyond Ravens team. The Steelers defense will play a key role in winning this game for them since the Ravens offense will struggle with all of their weapons being rested. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Ravens Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 6, 2024 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Steelers 24 Ravens 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-7 ATS off a road win. 2-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 12-6 UNDER as a favorite. 11-6 UNDER versus division opponents. 8-3 UNDER off a road win.
Baltimore Ravens: 11-5 ATS in all games. 11-2 ATS as an underdog. 15-4 ATS after scoring 40 points or more last game. 22-9 ATS after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored. 11-4 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 6-1 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive overs. 8-1 UNDER after 3 straight wins by 14 or more points.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: K. Pickett (QB) Prob Sat - Ankle. M. Fitzpatrick (S) Ques Sat - Knee. T. Thompson (DB) Ques Sat - Neck. E. Roberts (LB) Ques Sat - Pectoral. D. Kazee (S) out for season - Suspension. K. Neal (S) Out indefinitely - Ribs. K. Alexander (LB) I-R - Achilles. C. Holcomb (LB) I-R - Knee. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.
Baltimore Ravens: K. Hamilton (S) Ques Sat - Knee. K. Zeitler (G) Ques Sat - Knee. B. Stephens (DB) Ques Sat - Ankle. D. Worley (CB) Ques Sat - Head. M. Pierce (NT) Ques Sat - Head. M. Humphrey (CB) Ques Sat - Calf. J. Armour-Davis (CB) I-R - Concussion. M. Hamm (LB) I-R - Lower Body. K. Mitchell (RB) I-R - Knee. D. Duvernay (WR) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Andrews (TE) I-R - Ankle. D. Ojabo (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Washington (S) Out indefinitely - Chest. J. Dobbins (RB) I-R - Achilles. T. Bowser (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Mullen (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Vorhees (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I thought he was determined, as was Jaylen. I thought we got appropriate efforts from all parties involved and not to minimize it, it was just a critical time, and so if you're a competitor you're going to be at your best.” - Mike Tomlin on Najee Harris after his team’s win against the Seahawks in their last game.
“I don't know if I've seen a more impressive performance in a game. I'm not sure I've seen a more impressive performance in a season to date. Obviously we have a lot more to do. We've got a lot of work to do in front of us, but this is a mature football team.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Johnson, Diontae
WR Robinson II, Allen
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Pickett, Kenny
RB Harris, Najee
Baltimore Ravens
WR Beckham JR., Odell
WR Bateman, Rashod
WR Flowers, Zay
TE Likely, Isaiah
QB Jackson, Lamar
RB Edwards, Gus
FB Ricard, Patrick
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: K. Pickett (2070)
Rushing: N. Harris (923)
Receiving: G. Pickens (1140)
Touchdowns: N. Harris (7)
Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (3678)
Rushing: L. Jackson (821)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (858)
Touchdowns: G. Edwards (13)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (16th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
