Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/15/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Nov 14, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, November 15, 2024
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 
Where to Watch:  AZFamily


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +7, Thunder -7; Over/Under:  225.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +7, Thunder -7; Over/Under:  225.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +6.5, Thunder -6.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Season Record

Phoenix Suns:  9-3 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  10-2 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Phoenix Suns:  8-2 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10


Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis


The Suns are entering this game with a 9-3 record overall this season and they are 4-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Sacramento Kings. Josh Okogie led the team in points in that game with 25 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 18 points. Tyus Jones led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jusuf Nurkić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 37.1% from the field, 30.2% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.8 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 4-8 this season and their O/U record is 8-4.



The Thunder are entering this game with a 10-2 record overall this season and they are 6-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers and the New Orleans Pelicans. Jalen Williams led the team in points in that game with 31 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was next on the team with 29 points. Jalen Williams led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jalen Williams led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 44.3% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 103.8 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 8-4 this season and their O/U record is 6-6.


Suns vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall which has them at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 6-1 home record and they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. Meanwhile, the Suns have also looked really good in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They are 4-2 in their road games this season, but they are coming off a loss in their last one and are dealing with Kevin Durant being out of the lineup due to injury. They are coming off a loss against the Kings in their last one and they were blown out in that game without Durant. Now they are playing the best team in the NBA at the moment and the Thunder are coming off a big win over the Pelicans, rolling a lot of the teams they have played this season. The Thunder will be able to take advantage of the Suns without one of their best players here and this is also a nice game for the Thunder to establish that they are once again the team to beat in the West. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, November 15, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 117 Suns 102.
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NBA Betting Trends


Phoenix Suns: 19-26 ATS as a road underdog. 11-18 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 21-40 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 18-12 OVER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 10-6 OVER off a loss against a division rival.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 41-25 ATS as a home favorite. 30-18 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 22-13 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 25-12 OVER against Pacific division opponents. 29-15 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 42-23 OVER off a home win.

Key Injuries


Phoenix Suns:  B. Beal (SG) Day To Day - Calf. G. Allen (SG) Day To Day - Hamstring. K. Durant (SF) Out - Calf.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Caruso (PG) Day To Day - Hip. C. Holmgren (PF) Out - Hip. J. Williams (PF) Out - Hamstring. I. Hartenstein (C) Out - Hand. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.


Notable Quotes


“I think he’s had a tough couple of days, and I’ve gotta find a way to give him a break. He’s a fighter, he’s a competitor. He wants to play every minute.” - Mike Budenholzer on Devin Booker without Kevin Durant in the lineup.


"He course-corrects. I give him a lot of space. You guys would be shocked at how little I coach him. He gets a lot of space because he course-corrects himself. He self-reflects and cares so much. It's not like this ongoing dialogue. It's not a video game. He is the best person to be driving his development plan." - Mark Daigneault on the development of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.


Starting Lineups


Phoenix Suns
PG Tyus Jones
SG Devin Booker
SF Bradley Beal
PF Ryan Dunn
C Jusuf Nurkic

Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Isaiah Joe
SF Luguentz Dort
PF Aaron Wiggins
C Jalen Williams

Statistical Leaders


Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (27.6)
APG: D. Booker (6.8)
Reb/G: J. Nurkić (10.3)

Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (27.9)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.3)
Reb/G: C. Holmgren (8.7)

Coaches:
Phoenix Suns: Mike Budenholzer (1st season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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