Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 28, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +7, Timberwolves -7; Over/Under:  226 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +7, Timberwolves -7; Over/Under:  226 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +7, Timberwolves -7; Over/Under:  226 points

Phoenix Suns:  35-38 (5th place, Pacific Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  41-32 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Phoenix Suns:  6-4 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Suns are entering this game with a 35-38 record overall this season and they are 12-24 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Celtics. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 30 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 14 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Devin Booker led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41.4% from the field, 31.7% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.9 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 29-43-1 this season and their O/U record is 37-36.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 41-32 record overall this season and they are 21-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers. Naz Reid led the team in points in that game with 20 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 17 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 48.4% from the field, 25.7% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 33-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-33.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 41-32 record overall, but that record has them in the bottom half of the West and in a play-in spot. They have looked good on their home court with their 21-16 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Suns haven't looked great in their games this season with their 35-38 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West and in a play-in spot. They have been a terrible road team too with their 12-24 road record this season. They recently moved up over the Mavericks for the last play-in spot in the West, but they haven't really played their way into that position as the Mavericks have been sliding down the standings. They have looked a lot better lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they are coming off a bad home loss to the Celtics in their last one and that loss killed a lot of the momentum they had. The Timberwolves are also coming off a loss in their last one, losing on the road to the Pacers by double digits, but they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and will be looking to bounce back at home since they have been hot lately. The Timberwolves have also had the Suns' number in their last few meetings going back to last season so this is a great game for the Timberwolves to bounce back at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 28, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 127 Suns 115.

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Phoenix Suns: 8-4 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 12-6 1H ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 37-24 1H ATS against Northwest division opponents. 34-23 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 10-3 1H UNDER after a blowout loss by 20 points or more.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 36-63 ATS as a home favorite. 11-22 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 10-17 ATS at home against Pacific division opponents. 23-16 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 10-5 UNDER when playing with 3 or more days rest. 

Phoenix Suns:  B. Beal (SG) Out - Hamstring.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

"We've been aggressive. We've been trying to not let teams play one-on-one, trying to be the aggressor, create turnovers, and create activity. Tonight, they executed better than our defense. It's been good for us. But tonight, their execution, their spacing, their shooting, was better than our activity." - Mike Budenholzer after his team’s loss against the Celtics in their game on Wednesday.

"Gotta get our edge back. I think it starts on the defensive end. On-ball competitiveness has been poor, whether it's been at the beginning (of a possession), trying to contain the ball, or at the end, just get up an influential shot contest. Those things have been missing. I think we've been looking for the easy way out, and it's just not there. We gotta get back to being the really, really good defensive team that we can be." - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Pacers in their game on Monday.

PG Devin Booker

SG Collin Gillespie

SF Ryan Dunn

PF Kevin Durant

C Nick Richards

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: K. Durant (26.9)

APG: D. Booker (7.1)

Reb/G: N. Richards (8.4)

PPG: A. Edwards (27.3)

APG: A. Edwards (4.6)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.3)

Coaches:

Phoenix Suns: Mike Budenholzer (1st season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)