Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/01/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 31, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 1, 2025
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  TNT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +7.5, Bucks -7.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +7.5, Bucks -7.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +7.5, Bucks -7.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Season Record

Phoenix Suns:  35-40 (5th place, Pacific Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  40-34 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Phoenix Suns:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10


Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Suns are entering this game with a 35-40 record overall this season and they are 12-25 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics, the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the Houston Rockets. Devin Booker led the team in points in that game with 28 while Kevin Durant was next on the team with 11 points. Collin Gillespie led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Kevin Durant led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48.3% from the field, 31.3% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.4 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 29-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 39-36.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 40-34 record overall this season and they are 23-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Denver Nuggets, the New York Knicks, and the Atlanta Hawks. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 31 while Kevin Porter Jr. was next on the team with 28 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, and Kevin Porter Jr. each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.6% from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range, and 79.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.8 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 36-37-2 this season and their O/U record is 37-38.


Suns vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 40-34 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked good on their home court this year with their 23-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Suns haven't looked good in their games this season with their 35-40 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West and out of a playoff spot. They have also been a terrible road team this year with their 12-25 road record. They are right in the race for the last play-in spot, but they haven't been doing themselves any favors lately. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have lost 3 games in a row now. The Bucks haven't looked any better lately as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have lost 4 games in a row now, but they are going to be desperate to stop the bleeding here. They were just embarrassed on their home court by the Hawks in their last one and even though they aren't at risk of losing their playoff spot since the next team behind them is under .500, they are still fighting for seeding and need to break out of this funk for the playoffs. They can take advantage of how bad the Suns have been in road games this season, and they just lost Kevin Durant to an injury in their last game so that is a big blow for them. The Bucks haven't looked good at all lately, but this is a great situation for them to bounce back at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 1, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Bucks 124 Suns 105.
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NBA Betting Trends


Phoenix Suns: 14-25 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 23-38 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 30-49 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 25-17 OVER off a home loss. 31-22 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses.

Milwaukee Bucks: 29-20 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 30-22 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 8-3 ATS at home after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 31-18 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 32-20 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Key Injuries


Phoenix Suns:  B. Beal (SG) Day To Day - Hamstring.

Milwaukee Bucks:  A. Green (SG) Day To Day - Shoulder. D. Lillard (PG) Out - Groin. J. Sims (C) Out - Thumb.


Notable Quotes


"Everybody has to step up, starting with myself. The exact opposite of what went down tonight. We have it in the locker room, and we just have to pull it out." - Devin Booker on the injury to Kevin Durant.


“It’s disappointing. It’s deflating because every possession early on, it’s only one guy (Young). But that guy’s different. It’s just really frustrating. There’s something we’re doing, though, because we were bad at the beginning of the year and then we became a great transition defensive team and there’s something we have to be doing wrong for this to happen. So we have to watch film and figure it out, and that’s my job.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Hawks in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Phoenix Suns
PG Devin Booker
SG Collin Gillespie
SF Ryan Dunn
PF Royce O'Neale
C Nick Richards

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Ryan Rollins
SG Taurean Prince
SF Kyle Kuzma
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (26.6)
APG: D. Booker (7)
Reb/G: N. Richards (8.2)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.2)
APG: D. Lillard (7.1)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)

Coaches:
Phoenix Suns: Mike Budenholzer (1st season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)




Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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