Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/04/2024

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, August 4, 2024

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -135, Mariners +114; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -135, Mariners +115; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -135, Mariners +115; Over/Under:  7 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  65-44 (1st place, NL East)

Seattle Mariners:  58-53 (2nd place, AL West)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  2-8 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-44 record overall and have a road record of 27-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Phillies lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Orion Kerkering is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 10-5 with a 2.94 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 ER, 3 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-53 record overall and have a home record of 32-23. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Mariners won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .674 OPS. Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-7 with a 3.11 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 2.2 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 58-53 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL West and fighting with the Astros for 1st place. They have looked a lot better in their home games this year with their 32-23 home record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 65-44 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been good in their road games this season with their 27-23 road record too. The Phillies have been in a terrible slump lately with their 2-8 record in their last 10 games, but this is a good game for them to try and break out of their funk. They are going to have their ace on the mound here with Wheeler and he has been a solid starter for them all year. He is 10-5 with a 2.94 ERA since he hasn't been giving up many runs all season and the team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting too. He did get blown up in his last start for 7 earned runs, but that rarely happens to him as he has looked so good all year, and he will be looking to bounce back with a much better start here. The Mariners are going with Gilbert in this one and he has been a solid starter for the Mariners this season with his 6-7 record and his 3.11 ERA, but he hasn't looked as good in his starts lately. He also got blown up for 7 earned runs in his last start and the team hasn't had a ton of success with him either, losing 3 games in a row with him starting. The Phillies have been struggling lately but this is a good pitching matchup for them to bounce back with since Wheeler will keep this weak Mariners offense at bay while the Phillies try to get a spark with their lineup that is one of the best in the MLB this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Phillies Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 4, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Phillies 3 Mariners 0.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 62-42 (+16.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 104 games. 58-35 (+16.55 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 93 games. 

Seattle Mariners: 35-43 (-7.50 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 78 games. 50-62 (-15.90 units) on the runline in their last 112 games. 36-19 to the under in their last 55 home games. 

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Seattle Mariners:  J. Polanco (2B) Ques Sat - Knee. G. Santos (SP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. Crawford (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Rodriguez (RF) Out indefinitely - Leg. D. Canzone (LF) Late July - Groin. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“I think because of the complete game, stuff was down, command was down. That’s what I chalk it up to. He’ll get another start.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Friday.

“I think what I've been fighting is my timing more than anything and to get one like that to right field, you know you're back on time. Just got to keep building off it.” - Luke Raley after their win against the Phillies in their game on Friday.

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

B Marsh (L) LF

J Realmuto (R) C

N Castellanos (R) RF

B Stott (L) 2B

J Rojas (R) CF

V Robles (R) CF

R Arozarena (R) LF

C Raleigh (S) C

J Turner (R) DH

J Rojas (L) 3B

D Moore (R) SS

M Haniger (R) RF

L Raley (L) 1B

L Rivas (S) 2B

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.315)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (122)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (24)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (73)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Carlos Estévez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (101)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (23)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (67)

Stolen Bases:  Dylan Moore (20)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (9)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (18)

ERA:  Yimi García (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)