Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/02/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, August 2, 2024

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +102, Mariners -122; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Mariners -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Mariners -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  65-43 (1st place, NL East)

Seattle Mariners:  57-53 (2nd place, AL West)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-43 record overall and have a road record of 27-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Cristopher Sanchez was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Tyler Phillips is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 9 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-53 record overall and have a home record of 31-23. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .671 OPS. George Kirby was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-1 with a 2.35 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 57-53 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL West and fighting with the Astros for 1st place. They have looked a lot better in their home games this year with their 31-23 home record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 65-43 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been good in their road games this season with their 27-22 road record, but they haven't looked as good in those games as they have at home. They also haven't looked that good lately with their 3-7 record in their last 10 games and they just got swept at home by the Yankees in their last series too. The Mariners haven't looked great either but they have been the slightly hotter team lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games, and the Mariners also have a stud on the mound here who will help lead them to victory. The Mariners are going to have Woo on the mound in this one and he has been lights out all season. He is 4-1 with a 2.35 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He gave up no runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him, and the team has also won 2 games in a row with him starting. The Phillies are also going to have a good starter in this one with Phillips on the mound as he is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA, but he is still an inexperienced starter in the MLB, only in his rookie year. He gave up no runs in his last start and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting, but he is bound to regress in this road game with the Mariners offense getting hot lately. The Mariners can take advantage of this pitching matchup at home and get a win off of one of the best teams in the MLB who have been in a slump lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Phillies Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 2, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Phillies 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 57-36 (18.40 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 93 games. 57-34 (+16.90 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 91 games. 32-26 to the under in their last 58 games. 

Seattle Mariners: 13-22 (-15.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 35 games. 49-61 (-16.70 units) on the runline in their last 110 games. 36-17 to the under in their last 53 home games. 

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Seattle Mariners:  B. Woo (SP) Que Fri - Hamstring. V. Robles (RF) Que Fri - Hip. J. Polanco (2B) Ques Fri - Knee. G. Santos (SP) Ques Fri - Bicep. J. Crawford (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Rodriguez (RF) Out indefinitely - Leg. D. Canzone (LF) Late July - Groin. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“You know he's going to come out of it at some point; he's such a great hitter. He's going to start hitting home runs again, and he's going to start feeling good about himself. Maybe he needs a day off to clear his head a little bit.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.

“We had a lot of opportunities to bust it open. In a game like this, you’re just like one big hit away from getting on the good side of this thing, but not for lack of effort. But, I like the way we’re playing. The at-bats are better. We just didn’t come through with runners in scoring position today.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Wednesday.

K Schwarber (L) DH

A Hays (R) LF

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

N Castellanos (R) RF

E Sosa (R) SS

W Wilson (R) 2B

G Stubbs (L) C

J Rojas (R) CF

J Rojas (L) 3B

R Arozarena (R) LF

C Raleigh (S) DH

J Turner (R) 1B

J Polanco (S) 2B

L Raley (L) CF

D Moore (R) SS

M Garver (R) C

J Vosler (L) RF

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.318)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (120)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (24)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (73)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Carlos Estévez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (101)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (23)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (67)

Stolen Bases:  Dylan Moore (20)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (9)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (18)

ERA:  Yimi García (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)