Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2024

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN 

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Twins +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Twins +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Twins +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  63-36 (1st place, NL East)

Minnesota Twins:  54-44 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-36 record overall and have a road record of 26-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Monday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-44 record overall and have a home record of 27-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Monday while Simeon Woods Richardson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4.1 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 63-36 record overall which has them leading the NL East with the best record in the MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 26-20 road record. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 54-44 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central and trailing behind the Guardians in 1st place. They are fighting for a Wild Card spot right now and have looked good in their home games with their 27-20 home record. Both of these teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games and both have struggled out of the All-Star break, the Phillies losing 2 of their 3 games against the Pirates while the Twins lost both games at home to the Brewers. The Twins have been putting up runs in their games over the weekend, but scoring is going to be a lot tougher in this one with Wheeler on the mound for the Phillies. Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA this season and he has been the ace for the Phillies this year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme with him all season and the team has also won 2 games in a row with him starting. The Twins are going to have Woods Richardson on the mound here and he has also looked good this season with his 3-1 record and his 3.51 ERA. The Twins have been finding a lot of success with him on the mound, winning 4 games in a row with him starting, and he also gave up 2 earned runs in his last start since he hasn't been giving up many all year. The Phillies do have the slightly better offense though which will give them an edge in this one, and they are going to have some momentum after shutting down the Pirates in a 6-0 win. The Twins have been putting up a ton of runs lately, but they have also been giving up a lot so even if Woods Richardson has a good outing here, the bullpen will find a way to blow it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 23, 2024 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Twins 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 14-20 (-7.80 units) on the runline in their last 34 games. 50-33 to the over with their team total in their last 83 games. 51-31 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 82 games. 

Minnesota Twins: 48-31 (+7 units) on the moneyline in their last 79 games. 14-9 (+7.95 units) on the runline in their last 23 games. 22-11 to the over in their last 33 games. 

Philadelphia Phillies:  L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. R. Suarez (SP) Prob Mon - Back. Z. Wheeler (SP) Prob Mon - Back. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Minnesota Twins:  K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Farmer (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“It was big. We needed to get back on the winning side. I think that makes everybody feel good. We'll have a happy flight and go into Minnesota and start all over again.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.

“There were a few good swings. We just needed more.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Saturday.

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

N Castellanos (R) RF

E Sosa (R) 2B

W Wilson (R) LF

G Stubbs (L) C

C Pache (R) CF

W Castro (S) SS

T Larnach (L) DH

B Buxton (R) CF

M Kepler (L) RF

C Santana (S) 1B

B Lee (S) 3B

A Martin (R) LF

E Julien (L) 2B

C Vázquez (R) C

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.339)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (111)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (22)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (71)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (22)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.09)

Batting Average:  Jose Miranda (.325)

Hits:  Willi Castro (92)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (47)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Pablo López (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (15)

ERA:  Ronny Henriquez (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)