Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/09/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Jun 08, 2022
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 9, 2022
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +140, Brewers -160; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +140, Brewers -160; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +140, Brewers -160; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  26-29 (3rd place, NL East)
Milwaukee Brewers:  33-24 (1st place, NL Central)
 
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 26-29 record overall and they are 11-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 5 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 completing the sweep, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Thursday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Aaron Nola is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Zach Eflin will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 2-4 with a 3.88 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits in 8 IP against the Los Angeles Angels. They scored 26 runs in their last series averaging just under 9 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Brewers are coming into this game with a 33-24 record overall and they are 15-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game losing streak. They just lost their 4-game series against the San Diego Padres 3-1, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Thursday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Adrian Houser is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Corbin Burnes will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 3-3 with a 2.50 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 8 hits in 3.2 innings played against the San Diego Padres. They scored 9 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 21 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently and their bats have been really cold as well as they are not scoring a lot of runs in their games. They just lost a very close game at home in the first of this series and they will be hungry to bounce back, luckily they have a good pitching matchup here and may not need their bats to get hot to win this game. Burnes is starting here and he has been very good all season as he is the ace of the Brewers here. He has been very reliable and the Phillies are bound to start dying down after their little surge recently. They already showed their inability to score with guys on base in the series opener here and they will likely struggle to score runs on Burnes as well. Eflin is starting for the Phillies here and he has been alright this season but he has not been great on the road and the Brewers will likely break out in this game with the way he has been pitching on the road recently. The best bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.
 
Phillies Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 9, 2022 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 3 Phillies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Philadelphia Phillies: 136-141 (-26.6 Units) ML in all games. 57-79 (-24.4 Units) ML in road games. 17-8 OVER in road games.
Milwaukee Brewers: 112-79 (+13.3 Units) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 118-87 (+7.5 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 19-14 OVER against right-handed starters.
 

Key Injuries

 
Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Maton (SS) Mid June - Shoulder. J. Segura (SS) Late Aug - Finger. R. Marchan (C) Mid June - Hamstring.
Milwaukee Brewers:  K. Wong (2B) Ques Wed - Calf. M. Brosseau (3B) Mid June - Ankle. W. Adames (SS) Prob Wed - Ankle.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I could feel it, just the moment, the opportunity. What a moment for him, the fans, the organization, everybody. It was a huge opportunity for us to win a game today, and Bryson put us on his back that last inning and made it happen." - Bryce Harper after their win against the Angels on Sunday.
 
 
"We're just in a little stretch where we're not getting much going." - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Padres on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Bryce Harper (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Mickey Moniak (L) CF
 
Milwaukee Brewers
Luis Urias (R) SS
Tyrone Taylor (R) CF
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Andrew McCutchen (R) DH
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Victor Caratini (S) C
Kolten Wong (L) 2B
Pablo Reyes (R) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Bryce Harper (59)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (14)
RBI:  Bryce Harper (41)
Stolen Bases:  Jean Segura (8)
Wins:  Ranger Suarez (4)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (10)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Pablo Reyes (.286)
Hits:  Rowdy Tellez (48)
Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (10)
RBI:  Rowdy Tellez (37)
Stolen Bases:  Kolten Wong (8)
Wins:  Brandon Woodruff (5)
Saves:  Josh Hader (18)
ERA:  Luke Barker (0.00)
 
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (8th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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