Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, June 16, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Orioles -130; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Orioles -130; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Orioles -135; Over/Under:  7 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  47-22 (1st place, NL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  45-24 (2nd place, AL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-22 record overall and have a road record of 20-12. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Phillies won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-3 with a 2.16 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-24 record overall and have a home record of 23-14. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Orioles lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Corbin Burnes is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-2 with a 2.08 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 7 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 45-24 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East, trailing right behind the New York Yankees in 1st place. Meanwhile, the Phillies have also looked really good in their games this season with their 47-22 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. The Phillies have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last few weeks, but they have started to cool off now since their trip to London, losing their last series against the Red Sox who haven't looked good this season. The Phillies managed to take the 1st game of this series, but they needed 11 innings to win that game. Both of these teams have been great on offense this year but the Orioles do have the slight advantage in that department, and being at home will give them the edge in this game. Runs are going to be tough to score anyway since both teams have aces on the mound here. Wheeler is up for the Phillies and he is 8-3 with a 2.16 ERA while Burnes is up for the Orioles and he is 7-2 with a 2.08 ERA. Both starters have been great this season but Burnes has been slightly better with runs allowed, and he is coming off a start in which he allowed no runs while Wheeler gave up 1 run in his last start. This is going to be a tight game but the Orioles have the slight edge being at home in this one and the Phillies bullpen hasn't been great lately either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Phillies Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 16, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Orioles 2 Phillies 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: ZACK WHEELER is 22-21 (-4.6 units) on the moneyline in road games, 9-15 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5, and 10-12 (-2.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 8-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 5-0 OVER when the total is 7 or less. 

Baltimore Orioles: 45-24 (+11.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 36-20 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 117-84 (+22.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 28-19 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 28-18 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5. 25-17 OVER  against right-handed starters.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Realmuto (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. K. Clemens (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Marsh (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Turner (SS) Late June - Leg. Y. Marte (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Holliday (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Mid June - Tricep. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“The atmosphere was tremendous. We got a lot of Philly fans here and obviously a lot of Baltimore fans. It was a great game, back and forth. It was just really good. It was like a playoff game.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Friday.

“It gave us a chance. I've spent some time up here since ‘22, and every stretch I’ve been here, late innings we find a way to fight.” - Kyle Stowers after their loss against the Braves in their game on Thursday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Edmundo Sosa (R) SS

David Dahl (L) LF

Cristian Pache (R) CF

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Austin Hays (R) LF

Jorge Mateo (R) 2B

James McCann (R) C

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.343)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (75)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (15)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (54)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (18)

Wins:  Ranger Suárez (10)

Saves:  José Alvarado (12)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (0.89)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (79)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (21)

RBI:  Adley Rutschman (51)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (13)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)