Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/15/2024

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, June 15, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +150, Orioles -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +150, Orioles -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +150, Orioles -185; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  46-22 (1st place, NL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  45-23 (2nd place, AL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-22 record overall and have a road record of 19-12. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 2 hits through 5.2 IP against the New York Mets.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-23 record overall and have a home record of 23-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .758 OPS. Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Friday while Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 45-23 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East, trailing right behind the New York Yankees in 1st place. Meanwhile, the Phillies have also looked really good in their games this season with their 46-22 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. The Phillies have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last few weeks, but they have started to cool off now since their trip to London, losing their last series against the Red Sox who haven't looked good this season. Both of these teams have been great on offense this year too so the pitching matchup is going to be important here, and that is something that the Orioles have the advantage with. The Orioles are going with Rodriguez on the mound and he is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA. He has been great in his 2nd MLB season, not giving up many runs in his starts, and he is coming off another good start which he gave up 2 earned runs in. The Phillies are going to have Walker on the mound here and he has definitely been a weak spot in their rotation. He is 3-1 with a 5.40 ERA, giving up a lot of runs in his starts this year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but he has been really inconsistent this season and the team hasn't had much success with him lately as they have lost their last 3 games with him starting. The Orioles have the better pitching matchup in this game and have the slight edge at home with the Phillies cooling off now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Phillies Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 15, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Phillies 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 21-26 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. TAIJUAN WALKER is 4-10 (-4.7 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 7-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 27-17 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. TAIJUAN WALKER is 16-9 OVER against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles: 45-23 (+12.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 36-19 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 117-83 (+23.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 9-4 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200. GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ is 8-2 OVER in all games and 14-5 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Realmuto (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. K. Clemens (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Marsh (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Turner (SS) Late June - Leg. Y. Marte (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Mid June - Tricep. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“He hung some breaking balls and the fastball was up. It’s one of those days.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Thursday.

“It gave us a chance. I've spent some time up here since ‘22, and every stretch I’ve been here, late innings we find a way to fight.” - Kyle Stowers after their loss against the Braves in their game on Thursday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Edmundo Sosa (R) SS

David Dahl (L) LF

Whit Merrifield (R) 3B

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Colton Cowser (L) LF

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Kyle Stowers (L) DH

Jorge Mateo (R) 2B

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.343)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (72)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (15)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (52)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (18)

Wins:  Ranger Suárez (10)

Saves:  José Alvarado (12)

ERA:  Matt Strahm (0.67)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (78)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (21)

RBI:  Adley Rutschman (50)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (13)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)