Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/09/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Wednesday, April 9, 2025
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +102, Braves -122; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Braves -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Braves -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-2 (1st place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  1-8 (5th place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  7-2 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  1-8 last 10



Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis


The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 7-2 record overall and have a road record of 2-1. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .792 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team won their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and split their 2-game series against the Miami Marlins 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 1-8 record overall and have a home record of 1-1. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 1st game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .577 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Grant Holmes is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA this season. His team lost their 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.


Phillies vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with a great start to the season. They are also 2-1 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-8 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NL West with a terrible start to the season. They are also 1-1 in their home games as they split their only series there. The Braves did have a very tough schedule to start the season as their first 2 series were against the Dodgers and the Padres, but they aren't going to have it any easier against the Phillies who are also one of the best teams in the NL this season. The Braves have been terrible on offense to start the season, but their pitching has been really bad too. They have Holmes starting in this one and he didn't have a good start to the season. He gave up 4 earned runs in 4 innings in his last start and that is going to be an issue with the way the Phillies have been hitting. The Phillies also have Walker on the mound here and he was lights out in his 1st start of the season, giving up no runs in 6 innings. The Phillies not only have the better pitching matchup here, they also have the better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, April 9, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Philadelphia Phillies: 201-148 (+7.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 108-55 (+20.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 144-97 (+26 units) on the moneyline vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less. 15-6 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.

Atlanta Braves: 194-144 (-23.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 99-66 (-13.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 142-115 (-31.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 16-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%).

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Phillies:  W. Wilson (LF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. R. Suarez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Ten Day IL - Knee. S. Strider (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. N. Alvarez Jr. (SS) Ten Day IL - Wrist.


Notable Quotes


“At the start of the series, somebody asked me, ‘What's it gonna tell you at the end of the series about your club?’ I pretty much know our club. They’re grinders. They're fighters. They just grind, fight, they claw. And that's who they are. So, I love the club. I love the chance that we have of being special.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Sunday.


“I think he knows his body better than anybody, where he’s synced up and things like that. He’s probably not where he wants to be at this point yet, but everything sounded really good.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Trea Turner (R) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Max Kepler (L) LF
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Rafael Marchán (S) C

Atlanta Braves
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
Drake Baldwin (L) C
Nick Allen (R) SS
Jarred Kelenic (L) RF

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Johan Rojas (.667)
Hits:  Edmundo Sosa (11)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (4)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (8)
Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (3)
Wins:  Jesús Luzardo (2)
Saves:  José Alvarado (2)
ERA:  Taijuan Walker (0.00)

Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Nick Allen (.278)
Hits:  Michael Harris (8)
Home Runs:  Ozzie Albies (1)
RBI:  Ozzie Albies (5)
Stolen Bases:  Nick Allen (2)
Wins:  Spencer Schwellenbach (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Spencer Schwellenbach (0.00)

Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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