Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/08/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 07, 2025
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Tuesday, April 8, 2025
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  TBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Braves -120; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Braves -120; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Braves -120; Over/Under:  7 runs

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-2 (1st place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  1-8 (5th place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  7-2 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  1-8 last 10



Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis


The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 7-2 record overall and have a road record of 2-1. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .792 OPS. Cristopher Sanchez was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA this season. His team won their 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and split their 2-game series against the Miami Marlins 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 1-8 record overall and have a home record of 1-1. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .577 OPS. AJ Smith-Shawver was their starting pitcher on Saturday while Chris Sale is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team lost their 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.


Phillies vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with a great start to the season. They are 2-1 in their road games so far and they just beat the Dodgers in their last series, handing them their first 2 losses of the season. Meanwhile, the Braves haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-8 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NL East. They are 1-1 in their home games this season and have only played 2 games there, but they are not off to a good start this year. Their pitching hasn't been good and they have one of the worst offenses in the MLB through their first 9 games. It doesn't help that they have Sale starting in this game and he hasn't looked great this year with his 0-1 record and his 5.40 ERA, giving up 3 earned runs in his last start too. The Phillies have been a lot better offensively to start the season, but their pitching has also been good too. They are going to have Wheeler on the mound here too and he is their ace starter. He has pitched great in both of his starts this season and he isn't going to give up a lot of runs here, especially with the way the Braves have been hitting this season. The Phillies can take advantage of this bad start to the season for the Braves and they will bring their best effort to bury their division rival even more in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, April 8, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Braves 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Philadelphia Phillies: 201-148 (+7.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 108-55 (+20.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 144-97 (+26 units) on the moneyline vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less. 15-6 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.

Atlanta Braves: 194-144 (-23.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 99-66 (-13.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 142-115 (-31.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-5 UNDER when the total is 7 or less. 

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Phillies:  W. Wilson (LF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. R. Suarez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Ten Day IL - Knee. S. Strider (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. N. Alvarez Jr. (SS) Ten Day IL - Wrist.


Notable Quotes


“At the start of the series, somebody asked me, ‘What's it gonna tell you at the end of the series about your club?’ I pretty much know our club. They’re grinders. They're fighters. They just grind, fight, they claw. And that's who they are. So, I love the club. I love the chance that we have of being special.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Sunday.


“I think he knows his body better than anybody, where he’s synced up and things like that. He’s probably not where he wants to be at this point yet, but everything sounded really good.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Trea Turner (R) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Max Kepler (L) LF
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Rafael Marchán (S) C

Atlanta Braves
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
Drake Baldwin (L) C
Nick Allen (R) SS
Jarred Kelenic (L) RF

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Johan Rojas (.667)
Hits:  Edmundo Sosa (11)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (4)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (8)
Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (3)
Wins:  Jesús Luzardo (2)
Saves:  José Alvarado (2)
ERA:  Taijuan Walker (0.00)

Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Nick Allen (.278)
Hits:  Michael Harris (8)
Home Runs:  Ozzie Albies (1)
RBI:  Ozzie Albies (5)
Stolen Bases:  Nick Allen (2)
Wins:  Spencer Schwellenbach (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Spencer Schwellenbach (0.00)

Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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