by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 17, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 22, 2024
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Eagles -3.5, Commanders +3.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Eagles -3, Commanders +3; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Eagles -3.5, Commanders +3.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Philadelphia Eagles: 12-2 (1st place, NFC East)
Washington Commanders: 9-5 (2nd place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Philadelphia Eagles: won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-13.
Washington Commanders: won their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 20-19.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Preview and Analysis
The Eagles are entering this game with a 12-2 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-13. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 25/32 passes for 290 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 65. A. J. Brown led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Nakobe Dean led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Nolan Smith Jr. and Josh Sweat each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Commanders are entering this game with a 9-5 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 20-19. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 25/31 passes for 226 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 66. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Jeremy Chinn led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jeremy Chinn, Dorance Armstrong, and Daron Payne each led the defense in sacks with 1. Mike Sainristil came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Eagles vs Commanders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles have looked really good in their games this season with their 12-2 record overall which leads the NFC East with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have been rolling over teams lately, coming off a 27-13 win over the Steelers in their last one, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 10 wins in a row now. They are also going to be really motivated after seeing the Lions lose a game since they are now tied with both the Lions and the Vikings for the number 1 seed in the NFC. Meanwhile, the Commanders have looked good in their games this season with their 9-5 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NFC East and in a Wild Card spot at the moment. They have had a really good season even though they have a rookie QB and a new head coach/ownership group. They have exceeded expectations this season and look to be playoff bound now, but they are coming off a win over the Saints in a game they struggled to finish in and they just aren't at the level that the Eagles are playing at. The Commanders are coming off a 20-19 win over the Saints last week and were in complete control of that game, jumping out to a big lead, but they were outscored when the Saints made the switch from Jake Haener to Spencer Rattler, almost losing the game in a comeback for the Saints. They haven't looked great in their other games lately either and the Eagles will be able to take advantage of that as they are completely rolling in all areas right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game.
Eagles Commanders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 22, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Eagles 27 Commanders 16.
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NFL Betting Trends
Philadelphia Eagles: 12-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 13-5 ATS off a home win. 9-4 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 8-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 7-4 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.
Washington Commanders: 2-6 ATS as a home underdog. 5-10 ATS versus division opponents. 2-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 8-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 4-1 OVER revenging a same season loss against an opponent. 9-4 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
Key Injuries
Philadelphia Eagles: J. Wilson (WR) Injured - Illness. D. Slay (CB) Injured - Rest. L. Johnson (T) Injured - Personal. J. Hurts (QB) Injured - Finger. J. Sweat (OLB) Injured - Rest. L. Dickerson (G) Injured - Rest. C. Gardner-Johnson (SAF) Injured - Rest. M. Becton (T) Injured - Rest. A. Brown (WR) Injured - Rest. R. Blankenship (SAF) Injured - Concussion. B. Covey (WR) Out - Neck. S. Brown (SAF) Injured - Knee. N. Dean (LB) Injured - Elbow. J. Carter (DT) Injured - Shoulder. C. DeJean (DB) Injured - Rest.
Washington Commanders: D. Payne (DT) Questionable - Back. J. Magee (LB) Injured - Elbow. Z. Gonzalez (K) Questionable - Foot. Z. Ertz (TE) Injured - Hamstring. D. Fowler (LB) Injured - Groin. M. Lattimore (CB) Injured - Hamstring. N. Brown (WR) Out - Kidney. J. Crowder (WR) Questionable - Calf. N. Igbinoghene (CB) Injured - Thumb. C. Ferrell (DE) Injured - Knee. Q. Martin (DB) Injured - Shoulder. A. Wylie (OL) Injured - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“Every opportunity to get better, you use. I’m not for one minute saying that all the turmoil on the outside was a good thing. We want to make sure that we’re locked into what we’re doing, and that’s what I felt like.” - Nick Sirianni after his team’s win against the Steelers in their last game.
“When you get those, you really put yourself in a bad spot. We have lots to clean up, but we’ve been in a lot of close games and been battle-hardened.” - Dan Quinn after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Eagles
WR Smith, DeVonta
WR Brown, A.J.
WR Dotson, Jahan
TE Calcaterra, Grant
QB Hurts, Jalen
RB Barkley, Saquon
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Brown, Dyami
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Bates, John
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
Statistical Leaders
Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (2892)
Rushing: S. Barkley (1688)
Receiving: A. Brown (946)
Touchdowns: J. Hurts (14)
Washington Commanders
Passing: J. Daniels (3045)
Rushing: B. Robinson (705)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (969)
Touchdowns: T. McLaurin (11)
Coaches:
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (4th season)
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
