by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 13, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024
Venue: Ross–Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: PSU -28.5, Purdue +28.5; Over/Under: 51 points
Bet365: Point Spread: PSU -28.5, Purdue +28.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: PSU -28.5, Purdue +28.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
Penn State Nittany Lions: 8-1 (5-1) (4th place, Big Ten)
Purdue Boilermakers: 1-8 (0-6) (18th place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Penn State Nittany Lions: won their last game at home against the Washington Huskies 35-6.
Purdue Boilermakers: lost their last game on the road against the Ohio State Buckeyes 45-0.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Penn State is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Washington 35-6. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 20/28 passes for 220 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Kaytron Allen led the team in rushing yards with 98 and 1 TD. Harrison Wallace III led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jaylen Reed led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Abdul Carter led the defense in sacks with 2. Jaylen Reed came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Purdue is entering this game with a 1-8 record overall and they have a 0-6 record in their conference games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Ohio State 45-0. Hudson Card was the starting QB and he completed 9/19 passes for 108 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing yards with 73. Shamar Rigby led the receivers with 29 receiving yards on 1 reception. Dillon Thieneman led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Cole Brevard led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Penn State vs Purdue Prediction
The current betting odds have Penn State listed as a 28.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State has looked really good in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. Their chances of winning the Big Ten Championship went down after their loss to Ohio State, but they are still ranked as one of the best teams in the nation and have a good chance to make the CFP. They are coming off a 35-6 win over Washington in their last one and looked a lot better after that loss to Ohio State. Meanwhile, Purdue has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-8 record overall and their 0-6 conference record which has them right at the bottom of the Big Ten. They are the only team in the Big Ten this season without a conference win and they haven't looked any better in their home games with their 1-4 home record. They are coming off a 45-0 loss to Ohio State in their last one and that isn't even the first time they were shut out by a ranked team this year, also getting shut out in their game against Oregon. Penn State has looked great on defense all season and only gave up 6 points last week, Purdue's offense isn't going to get much done here while the defense also struggles to keep this Penn State offense off the board. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game.
Penn State Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Penn State 41 Purdue 3.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Penn State Nittany Lions Purdue Boilermakers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Penn State Nittany Lions: 22-12 ATS in all lined games. 21-8 ATS as a favorite. 9-3 ATS in road lined games. 13-6 ATS after playing a game at home. 8-4 OVER in road lined games. 9-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 7-2 OVER off a home win against a conference rival.
Purdue Boilermakers: 11-24 ATS in all lined games. 7-16 ATS as an underdog. 4-14 ATS in home lined games. 4-10 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 6-2 OVER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 10-5 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 9-2 OVER after a loss by 17 or more points.
Key Injuries
Penn State Nittany Lions: N. Singleton (RB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Smolik (QB) Out - Undisclosed. M. Flowers (WR) Out - Undisclosed. Z. Fisher (DE) Out - Undisclosed. Q. Martin (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Cross (TE) Out - Undisclosed. D. Dennis-Sutton (DE) Questionable - Lower Body. E. Black (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Schlaffer (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Sahaydak (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wylie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Saunders (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wallace (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. A. Rappleyea (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Winston (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Izzard (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Spencer (WR) Out - Undisclosed.
Purdue Boilermakers: J. Dinkins (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Lewis (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sales (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Berglund (LB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Madden (DE) Out - Undisclosed. M. Brown (DB) Out - Personal. J. Bouldin (OL) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I can’t see how this guy doesn’t win the Mackey Award and the Paul Hornung Award. And they’d be proud of that guy representing their award because he does everything right, both on and off the field.” - James Franklin on Tyler Warren after his team’s win against Washington in their last game.
“I just wish we could have pushed the ball downfield a little more." - Ryan Walters after his team’s loss against OSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Penn State Nittany Lions
WR Wallace III, Harrison
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Clifford, Liam
TE Warren, Tyler
QB Allar, Drew
RB Singleton, Nicholas
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Smith, CJ
WR Edrine, Jahmal
WR Tibbs, Jaron
TE Klare, Max
QB Card, Hudson
RB Mockobee, Devin
Statistical Leaders
Penn State Nittany Lions
Passing: D. Allar (2006)
Rushing: K. Allen (634)
Receiving: T. Warren (681)
Touchdowns: N. Singleton (7)
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: H. Card (1113)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (612)
Receiving: M. Klare (475)
Touchdowns: D. Mockobee (4)
Coaches:
Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (11th season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Ryan Walters (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
