by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Dec 05, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 7, 2024
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Penn State +3.5, Oregon -3.5; Over/Under: 50 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Penn State +3.5, Oregon -3.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Penn State +3.5, Oregon -3.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Season Record
Penn State Nittany Lions: 11-1 (8-1) (3rd place, Big Ten)
Oregon Ducks: 12-0 (9-0) (1st place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Penn State Nittany Lions: won their last game at home against the Maryland Terrapins 44-7.
Oregon Ducks: won their last game at home against the Washington Huskies 49-21.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs Oregon Ducks Preview and Analysis
Penn State is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have an 8-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Maryland 44-7. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 171 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Nick Singleton led the team in rushing yards with 87 and 2 TDs. Tyler Warren led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Jaylen Reed led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Abdul Carter led the defense in sacks with 2. Dejuan Lane and Tony Rojas each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Oregon is entering this game with a 12-0 record overall and they have a 9-0 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Washington 49-21. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 209 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan James led the team in rushing yards with 99 and 2 TDs. Traeshon Holden led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Bryce Boettcher led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Jordan Burch led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Penn State vs Oregon Prediction
The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked great in their games this season with their 12-0 record overall and their 9-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten with the best record in the nation. They are the only undefeated team left in the nation and are ranked 1st overall too. Meanwhile, Penn State has looked really good in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. As good as they have been this season, their 1 loss did come against Ohio State once again, a team they have struggled to beat for years, and the only reason they even made this game is because of Ohio State's loss to Michigan in the regular season finale. Penn State had Ohio State at home this season and they still struggled to put up points in that game. They are going to have similar trouble here with the way Oregon's defense has been playing all season, and Oregon also has a really good offense that is going to put up a ton of points too. They are coming off a big win over Washington in their last one and that has been a common theme for them this season, rolling a lot of their opponents in the Big Ten. Oregon is also going to be extra motivated since they came close to making the playoff last season, but they couldn't beat Washington. Now they have a chance to put that to bed by winning the Big Ten Championship in their first season of being in the conference and go on to win the National Championship too. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game.
Penn State Oregon Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 7, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 27 Penn State 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Penn State Nittany Lions Oregon Ducks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Penn State Nittany Lions: 1-4 ATS as an underdog. 3-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 8-4 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 8-4 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less.
Oregon Ducks: 24-14 ATS in all lined games. 23-12 ATS as a favorite. 12-6 ATS off a home win. 8-4 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 4-0 UNDER in games played on a neutral field. 7-4 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%).
Key Injuries
Penn State Nittany Lions: K. Artis (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wylie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Winston (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Washington (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wallace (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. K. Saunders (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Rappleyea (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Ford (DT) Out - Lower Body. A. Donkoh (OL) Out - Knee. Z. Fisher (DE) Out - Undisclosed.
Oregon Ducks: K. Ware-Hudson (DT) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Harper (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Kasper (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Florence (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Gardner (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Gray (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Saleapaga (TE) Out - Undisclosed. M. Bedford (OL) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“We knew, but I didn’t say anything to the team. Actually, I did the opposite, I said Maryland, Maryland, Maryland, Maryland.” - James Franklin after his team’s win against Maryland in their last game.
“Everybody can recognize that college football is hard, right? It's tough to be consistent and to be resilient, and win some tight games and have some battles throughout, I think that really shows the character of our team.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against Washington in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Penn State Nittany Lions
WR Wallace III, Harrison
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Clifford, Liam
TE Warren, Tyler
QB Allar, Drew
RB Singleton, Nicholas
Oregon Ducks
WR Holden, Traeshon
WR Stewart, Evan
WR Lowe, Justius
TE Ferguson, Terrance
QB Gabriel, Dillon
RB James, Jordan
Statistical Leaders
Penn State Nittany Lions
Passing: D. Allar (2668)
Rushing: N. Singleton (733)
Receiving: T. Warren (978)
Touchdowns: N. Singleton (11)
Oregon Ducks
Passing: D. Gabriel (3275)
Rushing: J. James (1166)
Receiving: T. Johnson (685)
Touchdowns: J. James (13)
Coaches:
Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (11th season)
Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
