Oklahoma Sooners vs UConn Huskies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/21/2025

Game Time: 9:25 pm ET, Friday, March 21, 2025

Venue:  Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +5.5, UConn -5.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +5.5, UConn -5.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +5.5, UConn -5.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Oklahoma Sooners:  20-13 (6-12) (14th place, SEC)

UConn Huskies:  23-10 (14-6) (3rd place, Big East)

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Oklahoma Sooners:  3-2  last 5

UConn Huskies:  4-1  last 5

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 20-13 record overall, a 6-12 record in conference games, and they are 6-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game. Jeremiah Fears led the team in points in that game with 28 while Jalon Moore and Kobe Elvis each were next on the team with 12. Jeremiah Fears led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Jalon Moore led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48.4% from the field, 36% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.8 PPG against them. Oklahoma has an ATS record of 18-15 this season and their O/U record is 20-13.

UConn is entering this game with a 23-10 record overall, a 14-6 conference record, and they are 2-4 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Creighton Bluejays in their last game. Liam McNeeley and Solo Ball each led the team in points in that game with 13 while Hassan Diarra was next on the team with 11. Solo Ball and Jaylin Stewart each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Tarris Reed Jr. led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 42.6% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68 PPG against them. UConn has an ATS record of 14-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-17-1.

The current betting odds have UConn listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UConn has looked good in their games this season with their 23-10 record overall and their 14-6 conference record which had them right near the top of the Big East. They haven't looked good in neutral site games this season as they are 2-4 in those, but this is still the back-to-back defending National champions and they are going to bring their best effort now that the tournament is starting. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has looked good in their games this season with their 20-13 record overall, but their 6-12 conference record had them in the bottom half of the SEC. They have been great in neutral site games though as they are 6-1 in those and they were also really hot to start the season. They struggled a lot more in the SEC, but they were great in non-conference games. They have looked better lately as they are 3-2 in their last 5 games, but this is their first season in the tournament under Porter Moser and they don't have a ton of experience to carry them. UConn hasn't been at their best this season and didn't win the Big East Tournament or the regular season, but they have looked a lot better lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games. They are starting to get hot at the right time and this is a team that knows what they need to do to win the National Championship. Oklahoma had a great start to the season, but they lost a lot of their momentum in conference play and they are going to struggle against the back-to-back champs. The best way to place a bet here is on UConn to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma UConn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 21, 2025 (9:25 pm ET start time) is UConn 76 Oklahoma 68.

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Oklahoma Sooners: 6-11 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 free throws/game or less. 3-6 1H ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 14-23 1H ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 8-4 OVER as a neutral court underdog or pick. 10-4 OVER after allowing 85 points or more. 8-3 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

UConn Huskies: 24-6 ATS in all neutral court games. 9-2 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 5-0 ATS against SEC opponents. 20-10 1H OVER in all neutral court games. 10-5 1H OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 8-4 1H OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders.

Oklahoma Sooners:  S. Godwin (F) Questionable - Knee.

UConn Huskies:  None.

“I kept telling them there was a path, and the path we chose was to keep fighting. The path they chose was to keep believing, and I’m happy for them that they have this day, but like I told them, we’re not done. We’re not done. This isn’t our destination. This is what’s part of our journey, to get into this tournament. Now, let’s go compete.” - Porter Moser on his team making the NCAA Tournament. 

"I thought it was bad defense, but we've been, we've been bad defensively. We just haven't had the two-way play." - Dan Hurley after his team’s loss against Creighton in the Big East Tournament.

J. Fears 

S. Godwin 

B. Goodine 

D. Miles 

J. Moore

S. Ball 

H. Diarra 

S. Johnson 

A. Karaban 

L. McNeeley

PPG: J. Fears (17)

APG: J. Fears (4.1)

Reb/G: J. Moore (5.8)

PPG: S. Ball (14.6)

APG: H. Diarra (5.8)

Reb/G: T. Reed (7.3)

Coaches:

Oklahoma Sooners: Porter Moser (4th season)

UConn Huskies: Dan Hurley (7th season)