Oklahoma Sooners vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/27/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, December 27, 2024

Venue:  Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -5, Navy +5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -5, Navy +5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -4.5, Navy +4.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Oklahoma Sooners:  6-6 (2-6) (13th place, SEC)

Navy Midshipmen:  9-3 (6-2) (4th place, AAC)

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Oklahoma Sooners:  lost their last game on the road against the LSU Tigers 37-17.

Navy Midshipmen:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Army Black Knights 31-13.

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they have a 2-6 record in their conference games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 37-17. Jackson Arnold was the starting QB and he completed 14/21 passes for 110 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jackson Arnold led the team in rushing yards with 75. Javian Hester led the receivers with 50 receiving yards on 1 reception. Gracen Halton led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Gracen Halton and R Mason Thomas each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Navy is entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Army 31-13. Blake Horvath was the starting QB and he completed 4/9 passes for 107 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Blake Horvath led the team in rushing yards with 204 and 2 TDs. Eli Heidenreich led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Kyle Jacob led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Luke Pirris and Dashaun Peele each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Navy listed as a 5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Navy has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall and their 7-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the AAC. They were close to making the AAC Championship with the season they had and Army went on to win the AAC Championship in their first season of being in the conference, but Navy is coming off a big win over Army after that conference championship game and that was really their whole season right there. They are going to have a ton of momentum after that big win and they are going to carry it into this game as they have a chance to finish the season with a bowl win and end with a 10-win season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 6-6 record overall and their 2-6 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. This was their first season in the SEC too and it was nowhere near the season they wanted to have. Their defense has looked great in a lot of their games, but they have had to lean on that all too often with their offense looking terrible. They ended the regular season with a blowout loss to LSU and they have struggled to move the ball all year. Navy has had a great offense this season and they are tough to defend with the triple option so as good as Oklahoma has looked on defense this season, they will struggle in this game. Navy also has a good defense and Oklahoma doesn't really have the kind of offense to put up a ton of points on them here. Oklahoma's offense will keep Navy in this game with a chance to pull off the upset. The best way to place a bet here is on Navy to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma Navy Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 27, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Navy 21 Oklahoma 16.

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Oklahoma Sooners: 2-6 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 7-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 3-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 4-1 UNDER after a bye week. 6-3 1H UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 

Navy Midshipmen: 9-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 5-1 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. 7-2 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 21-14 1H UNDER in all lined games. 9-5 1H UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 5-1 1H UNDER off an upset win as an underdog.

Oklahoma Sooners:  J. Barnes (RB) Out - Undisclosed. K. McIntyre (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Farooq (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Taylor (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sexton (OL) Out - Leg. A. Anthony (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Dolby (DB) Out - Ankle. G. Williams (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Gibson (WR) Out - Knee. T. Everett (OL) Out - Undisclosed. C. Woullard (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Burks (WR) Questionable - Concussion. G. Hatchett (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

Navy Midshipmen:  C. Howard (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Bradley (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“We can’t do that and expect to beat anybody with a pulse. Our margin for error was razor-thin anyway. Right now, we’re not good enough to be able to overcome that.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against LSU in their regular season finale.

“I think they're like us. We want to be significant. I think we both were this year, and I think because of that maybe there was a little more significance, a little more interest maybe in this game.” - Brian Newberry after his team’s win against Army in their last game. 

WR Ragins, Zion

WR Hester, J.J.

WR Jordan, Jacob

TE Sharp, Bauer

QB Hawkins Jr., Michael 

RB Barnes, Jovantae 

WR Kent, Nathan 

TE Howard, Cody

QB Horvath, Blake

RB Chatman, Brandon 

SB Heidenreich, Eli

FB Tecza, Alex 

Passing: J. Arnold (1421)

Rushing: J. Barnes (577)

Receiving: B. Sharp (324)

Touchdowns: J. Barnes (6)

Passing: B. Horvath (1261)

Rushing: B. Horvath (1099)

Receiving: E. Heidenreich (649)

Touchdowns: B. Horvath (15)

Coaches:

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (3rd season)

Navy Midshipmen: Brian Newberry (2nd season)