Oklahoma Sooners vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/28/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2024

Venue:  Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn University, AL 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -1.5, Auburn +1.5; Over/Under:  46 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -2, Auburn +2; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -2, Auburn +2; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Oklahoma Sooners:  3-1 (0-1) (12th place, SEC)

Auburn Tigers:  2-2 (0-1) (14th place, SEC)

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Oklahoma Sooners:  lost their last game at home against the Tennessee Volunteers 25-15.

Auburn Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the Arkansas Razorbacks 24-14.

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Tennessee 25-15. Jackson Arnold was the starting QB and he completed 7/16 passes for 54 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Michael Hawkins Jr. who completed 11/18 passes for 132 yards and 1 TD. Michael Hawkins Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 22. Jaquaize Pettaway led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Robert Spears-Jennings led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Robert Spears-Jennings and Trace Ford each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Auburn is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Arkansas 24-14. Hank Brown was the starting QB and he completed 7/13 passes for 72 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions before getting replaced by Payton Thorne who completed 13/22 passes for 213 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT. Jarquez Hunter led the team in rushing yards with 67. KeAndre Lambert-Smith led the receivers with 156 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Jerrin Thompson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jerrin Thompson, Jalen McLeod, and Dorian Mausi Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kayin Lee and Sylvester Smith each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Oklahoma listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall, but they are 0-1 in their conference games and coming off a loss in their last one. Meanwhile, Auburn hasn't looked as good in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, and they are also coming off a conference loss in their last one. Both teams lost at home, but Auburn played a weaker Arkansas team while Oklahoma lost at home to a Tennessee team that looks like they can compete in the SEC this season. Oklahoma has struggled a lot on offense this season, as shown in their game against Tennessee and Houston earlier this year, but their defense is really good and has been keeping them in a lot of their games. Auburn has struggled on offense this season and their defense hasn't been great either. Neither offense is really going to wow in this game, but Oklahoma's defense will be enough to give them the edge here and help them bounce back as they are the better team overall. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 28, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 23 Auburn 17.

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Oklahoma Sooners: 1-4 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 7-12 ATS against conference opponents. 5-9 ATS after playing a game at home. 16-7 1H OVER as a favorite. 11-6 1H OVER against conference opponents. 8-4 1H OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more.

Auburn Tigers: 5-2 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 7-4 1H ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 5-2 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 10-3 OVER as an underdog. 6-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 8-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses.

Oklahoma Sooners:  N. Anderson (WR) Probable - Undisclosed. G. Hatchett (OL) Out - Undisclosed. B. Hickman (OL) Out - Ankle. J. Pettaway (WR) Questionable - Knee. J. Gibson (WR) Out - Knee. J. Farooq (WR) Out - Foot.

Auburn Tigers:  C. Coleman (WR) Doubtful - Shoulder. I. Miller (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. McPherson (K) Questionable - Illness. B. Battie (RB) Out - Head.

“I’m disappointed in our team tonight. It’s not one of those moments where you’re happy for him (Heupel) because you’re not. But that just kind of comes with the territory.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their last game. 

"I mean no offense whatsoever to Arkansas or to Cal. I love Sam Pittman and I hope he wins the rest of his games, but I'm telling you the hard truth is [if] we play them nine more times, we'd beat them nine times, and that's what's hard to take." - Hugh Freeze after his team’s loss against Arkansas in their last game. 

WR Farooq, Jalil 

WR Thompson, Brenen

WR Burks, Deion 

TE Sharp, Bauer

QB Arnold, Jackson 

RB Sawchuk, Gavin 

WR Coleman, Cam

WR Lambert-Smith, KeAndre

WR Lewis, Robert 

TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 

QB Thorne, Payton 

RB Hunter, Jarquez

Passing: J. Arnold (538)

Rushing: J. Barnes (138)

Receiving: D. Burks (201)

Touchdowns: D. Burks (3)

Passing: P. Thorne (700)

Rushing: J. Hunter (340)

Receiving: K. Lambert-Smith (338)

Touchdowns: K. Lambert-Smith (5)

Coaches:

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (3rd season)

Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (2nd season)