Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/25/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -9.5, Kings +9.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -9.5, Kings +9.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -9.5, Kings +9.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  59-12 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Sacramento Kings:  35-35 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  9-1 last 10

Sacramento Kings:  3-7 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 59-12 record overall this season and they are 28-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Boston Celtics, the Detroit Pistons, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Charlotte Hornets, and the Los Angeles Clippers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 26 while Aaron Wiggins was next on the team with 19 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40.2% from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range, and 85% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 44-24-4 this season and their O/U record is 39-31-2.

The Kings are entering this game with a 35-35 record overall this season and they are 18-17 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Boston Celtics still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Bucks, DeMar DeRozan led the team in points in that game with 22 while Keon Tyrese Ellis was next on the team with 20 points. Keon Tyrese Ellis led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Keon Tyrese Ellis and Keegan Murray each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 45.1% from the field, 23.7% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.8 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 28-38-4 this season and their O/U record is 38-30-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 59-12 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have also been a great road team this year with their 28-7 road record. Meanwhile, the Kings haven't looked great in their games this season with their 35-35 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West, but that record still has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs. They have looked better on their home court this year with their 18-17 home record, but they haven't been a great team in those games. They have been a really up and down team all season as they haven't been able to get above .500 and stay there. They haven't looked that great lately either as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have lost 2 games in a row now. The Thunder have been rolling lately as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now too. They are coming off a win over the Clippers in LA in their last one and they are going to have the rest advantage here since the Kings are playing this game on a back-to-back. The Kings play on Monday night still and they have a really tough game against the Celtics so they aren't going to have their best effort here on the back-to-back while the Thunder will be rested and ready to go. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 25, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 124 Kings 107.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 45-25 ATS off a road win. 41-28 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 29-17 OVER against Pacific division opponents. 42-26 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

Sacramento Kings: 8-14 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 7-15 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 14-7 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 12-6 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  C. Holmgren (C) Out - Hip. O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Calf. J. Williams (SG) Out - Hip. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Sacramento Kings:  D. Sabonis (C) Day To Day - Ankle. M. Monk (SG) Day To Day - Illness.

"You've got to, sometimes, be able to win in the mud, and we had to win in the mud tonight." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the LA Clippers in their game on Sunday.

“We’ve just got to keep fighting. Our schedule doesn’t get any easier. We’re trying to go out there and win every game and put ourselves in a position to win every game, so it’s tough to lose one like tonight, especially after (Thursday’s loss to the Chicago Bulls), but we know it doesn’t get any easier. We know what our situation is as far as standings and what we’re playing for, so we’ve just got to keep that the main focus and try to rally together.” - Keon Ellis after their loss against the Bucks in their game on Saturday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Cason Wallace

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Kenrich Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PG Malik Monk

SG Zach LaVine

SF DeMar DeRozan

PF Keegan Murray

C Jonas Valanciunas

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.8)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.3)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (11.1)

PPG: Z. LaVine (23.2)

APG: D. Sabonis (6.2)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Sacramento Kings: Doug Christie (Interim)