Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, April 4, 2025

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX 

Where to Watch:  SCHN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -7, Rockets +7; Over/Under:  232 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -7, Rockets +7; Over/Under:  232 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -7.5, Rockets +7.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  64-12 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Houston Rockets:  50-27 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  10-0 last 10

Houston Rockets:  8-2 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 64-12 record overall this season and they are 29-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 11 game winning streak with wins coming against the Boston Celtics, the Detroit Pistons, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Charlotte Hornets, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Sacramento Kings, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Indiana Pacers, the Chicago Bulls, and the Pistons again. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 33 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 23 points. Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 43.8% from the field, 26.3% from 3-point range, and 80.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 49-24-4 this season and their O/U record is 41-34-2.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 50-27 record overall this season and they are 28-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Utah Jazz. Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 22 while Dillon Brooks was next on the team with 21 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Alperen Şengün and Jabari Smith Jr. each led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 53.8% from the field, 42.2% from 3-point range, and 63.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 41-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-35-2.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked really good in their games this season with their 50-27 record overall which has them right near the top of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on their home court this season with their 28-11 home record. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 64-12 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have also been a really good road team this year with their 29-7 road record. The Thunder have been the best team in the NBA all season and they have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 11 wins in a row, but they have already locked up their number 1 seed in the playoffs and don't need to push as hard in these last few games. They have been rolling lately, but the Rockets play defense just as well as the Thunder do and they have the talent to snap this long winning streak on their home court. The Rockets have been rolling lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a huge win over the Jazz in their last one. They have a 3 game lead over 3rd place in the West, but they haven't locked up their number 2 seed yet and still have every reason to play hard in this game. This game is also going to be a good litmus test for them to see how they match up against the best in the league so look for the Rockets to bring their best effort in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 4, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 107 Thunder 104.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 41-24 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 148-101 ATS in all games. 29-19 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 36-28 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 23-12 UNDER on the road versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 

Houston Rockets: 22-28 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 11-5 UNDER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 23-9 UNDER at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 10-5 1H UNDER after scoring 136 points or more. 

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Wiggins (SG) Day To Day - Achilles. A. Ducas (SG) Day To Day - Quadriceps. O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Calf. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Houston Rockets:  F. VanVleet (PG) Day To Day - Ankle.

"That's as scrappy and as relentless of a team as there is. They're playing at an unbelievable baseline in terms of effort. They've done this all year." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Wednesday.

“It feels good to be back in the playoffs, and I’m sure for the guys that have never been there, it’s an accomplishment. But it was our expectation this year, building off of last year. I don’t think anybody’s overly excited — we did what we did and are in a good position. Now, it’s about maintaining that, and that’s more of the focus. We got five (games) to go, and it’s a tight race.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Wednesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green 

SF Amen Thompson

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.8)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.3)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.8)

PPG: J. Green (21.5)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.6)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.5)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)