Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, May 11, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3, Mavericks -3; Over/Under:  219 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +2.5, Mavericks -2.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  57-25 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Will Rogers is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 16-7 NBA RUN for +$8,200 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  9-1 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 57-25 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 24-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 33 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 20 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.2% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 94.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.7 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 50-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-39-3.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Luka Dončić and P.J. Washington each led the team in points in that game with 29 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 17 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 11 while P.J. Washington led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.7% from the field, 48.6% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 53-37 this season and their O/U record is 40-49-1.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 5th seeded Mavericks for Round 2 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Mavericks won game 2 of this series on the road. The Thunder swept the Pelicans in the 1st round and won game 1 of this series, but they were on a 10 game winning streak from the regular season going into that 2nd game against the Mavericks. They were bound to lose a game eventually and they did on their home court, but the Thunder are the number 1 seed in the West for a reason and they are going to respond in this game as they look to bounce back. They weren't a bad team in their road games this season with their 24-17 road record and they know they need to flip the home advantage back in their favor now to win this series so the Thunder are going to bring their best effort in this game to bounce back and get 1 back in Dallas. The Mavericks looked really good in their win in game 2, but P.J. Washington also played a big role in that win for them and he is unlikely to replicate the performance he had in that game. The Thunder haven't really struggled against the Mavericks this season either so look for them to bounce back with their own upset win here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game.

Thunder Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, May 11, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 105 Mavericks 97.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Oklahoma City Thunder Dallas Mavericks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 23-14 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 39-21 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 26-17 ATS after playing a home game. 8-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 12-5 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs. 15-6 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite.

Dallas Mavericks: 3-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 9-3 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 33-16 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 11-1 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 32-21 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  None.

Dallas Mavericks:  M. Kleber (PF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Prosper (PF) Out Indefinitely - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

“We’ve got a really good opponent that played really well tonight. We tried to scrap back into it. I thought our effort was really good tonight. I thought we tried to gear it up a couple different times. I thought where we left something to be desired was execution.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

“I thought P.J. set the tone. We played through him a little bit in the post and I think that sparked him. He was big for us tonight.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (30.1)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.2)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.9)

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)