Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/08/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 07, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 8, 2025
Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +2, Cavaliers -2; Over/Under:  227.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +2, Cavaliers -2; Over/Under:  227.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +2, Cavaliers -2; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Season Record

Oklahoma City Thunder:  30-5 (1st place, Northwest Division)
Cleveland Cavaliers:  31-4 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Oklahoma City Thunder:  10-0 last 10
Cleveland Cavaliers:  10-0 last 10


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Analysis


The Thunder are entering this game with a 30-5 record overall this season and they are 13-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 10 game winning streak with wins coming against the Orlando Magic, the Miami Heat, the Washington Wizards, the Indiana Pacers, the Charlotte Hornets, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Los Angeles Clippers, the New York Knicks, and the Boston Celtics. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 33 while Aaron Wiggins was next on the team with 15 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44.8% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 103 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 23-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 15-20-1.



The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 31-4 record overall this season and they are 18-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 10 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards, the Brooklyn Nets, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Utah Jazz, the Denver Nuggets, the Golden State Warriors, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Dallas Mavericks, and the Charlotte Hornets. Darius Garland led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jarrett Allen and Donovan Mitchell each were next on the team with 19 points. Caris LeVert led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jarrett Allen led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47.8% from the field, 34.9% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.7 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 25-10 this season and their O/U record is 23-12.


Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have looked great in their games this season with their 31-4 record overall which leads the East with the best record in the entire NBA. They have a ton of momentum coming into this one with 10 wins in a row now, and they have looked great on their home court this year with their 18-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Thunder have also looked great in their games this season with their 30-5 record overall which has them leading the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great lately with 10 wins in a row and they have been a great road team with their 13-3 road record, but as good as they have been in road games this season, they have still taken a majority of their losses on the road. These are clearly the 2 best teams in the NBA right now and both have a ton of momentum coming into this one. The Thunder are coming off a nice win over the Celtics in their last one, but that win was at home. The Cavaliers have only lost 1 game on their home court all season so they are not going to be easy to take down here, and they are going to bring their best effort for the 2nd best team in the NBA. Both teams are playing great right now, but the home advantage will be enough for the Cavs to edge out the Thunder in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 8, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 112 Thunder 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Oklahoma City Thunder: 16-25 1H ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 3-8 ATS on the road after playing 3 consecutive home games. 21-14 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 47-28 OVER off a home win. 35-23 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 32-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 19-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 30-18 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 15-8 OVER against Northwest division opponents. 24-15 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 31-18 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Key Injuries


Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Caruso (PG) Day To Day - Hip. C. Holmgren (PF) Out - Hip. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  S. Merrill (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. I. Okoro (SG) Out - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“That is a great team, and so to test ourselves in that way against that team, we love that challenge. But we love every one of the 82 challenges.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Celtics in their game on Sunday.


“It's a balanced team. We have interior play, we have perimeter play, we have ball handlers, we have shooters. So I think it starts there.” - Kenny Atkinson on his team this season.


Starting Lineups


Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Cason Wallace
SF Luguentz Dort
PF Jalen Williams
C Isaiah Hartenstein

Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell
SF Dean Wade
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Statistical Leaders


Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.3)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.1)
Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (12.2)

Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Mitchell (23.3)
APG: D. Garland (6.6)
Reb/G: J. Allen (10.1)

Coaches:
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)
Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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