Ohio State Buckeyes vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/10/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, January 10, 2025

Venue:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  OSU -6, Texas +6; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  OSU -6, Texas +6; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  OSU -6, Texas +6; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Ohio State Buckeyes:  12-2 (7-2) (4th place, Big Ten)

Texas Longhorns:  13-2 (7-1) (1st place, SEC)

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Ohio State Buckeyes:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Oregon Ducks 41-21.

Texas Longhorns:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Arizona State Sun Devils 39-31 in overtime.

Ohio State is entering this game with a 12-2 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 8-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Oregon 41-21. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 319 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 94 and 2 TDs. Jeremiah Smith led the receivers with 187 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Cody Simon led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Cody Simon, J.T. Tuimoloau, and Jack Sawyer each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Texas is entering this game with a 13-2 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Arizona State 39-31 in OT. Quinn Ewers was the starting QB and he completed 20/30 passes for 322 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Quintrevion Wisner led the team in rushing yards with 45. Matthew Golden led the receivers with 149 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jahdae Barron led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Trey Moore led the defense in sacks with 2. Andrew Mukuba came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Ohio State listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ohio State has looked really good in their games this season with their 12-2 record overall and their 7-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They ended their regular season with a disaster loss to Michigan at home and that loss kept them out of the Big Ten Championship, but they have looked unstoppable since that loss to Michigan and are clearly playing with a chip on their shoulder. They played the first playoff game at home against Tennessee and rolled them, but now they are coming off a 41-21 win over the Big Ten Champions Oregon and gave them their first loss of the season. Ohio State looks like the best team in the country right now and it isn't even close. Meanwhile, Texas has looked really good in their games this season with their 13-2 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They had the best regular season record in the SEC this year even though it was their first season in the conference, but they didn't win the SEC Championship with both of their losses coming to Georgia, once in the regular season and once in the SEC Championship. Texas hasn't looked great in the CFP either, winning a closer game at home against Clemson in the first round, giving up 24 points in that one, and now coming off a tight 39-31 win over Arizona State which they blew a big lead in and needed OT to win. Texas didn't really play many strong teams in their conference schedule either while Ohio State has faced the best teams in the nation and have still come out ahead. The best way to place a bet here is on Ohio State to cover the spread in this game. 

Ohio State Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, January 10, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 45 Texas 20.

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Ohio State Buckeyes: 7-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 10-5 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 11-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 7-4 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 11-6 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less. 8-3 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 yards/play or less.

Texas Longhorns: 0-3 ATS in a bowl game. 4-13 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 4-10 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 8-4 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 

Ohio State Buckeyes:  M. Maggs (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Jones (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. McLaughlin (OL) Out - Achilles. J. Simmons (OL) Out - Knee. T. Caffey (RB) Out - Knee.

Texas Longhorns:  C. Williams (OL) Questionable - Knee. D. Williams (DB) Out - Lower Body. V. Gardner (RB) Out - Undisclosed. T. Owens (QB) Out - Lower Body. C. Clark (RB) Out - Achilles. C. Baxter (RB) Out - Knee.

“You can see the potential of where we’re at, when we play in all three phases the way we did.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against Oregon in the Rose Bowl.

“The one thing that I know about our group is when our backs are against the wall and when our best is needed, our best shows up time and time again. The resiliency that these guys showed today was something that as a coach makes you really proud.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against ASU in the Peach Bowl. 

WR Smith, Jeremiah

WR Tate, Carnell 

WR Egbuka, Emeka 

TE Scott Jr., Gee 

QB Howard, Will 

RB Henderson, TreVeyon

WR Bond, Isaiah

WR Golden, Matthew

WR Moore Jr., DeAndre 

TE Helm, Gunnar 

QB Ewers, Quinn

RB Wisner, Quintrevion

Passing: W. Howard (3490)

Rushing: T. Henderson (925)

Receiving: J. Smith (1224)

Touchdowns: J. Smith (15)

Passing: Q. Ewers (3189)

Rushing: Q. Wisner (1018)

Receiving: M. Golden (936)

Touchdowns: J. Blue (12)

Coaches:

Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (7th season)

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (4th season)