by ASA, Inc.
Josh Allen Over 2.5 Pass TDs (+165)
This matchup between the Chiefs and Bills is the most anticipated of the week, and maybe the year so far. Holding the highest point total of the weekend (o/u54), both teams have been cruising on offense, scoring a combined 68 points in their week 5 games. Allen has had plenty of success against the KC defense, torching them for 329 yards and 4 TDs last postseason. The Chiefs currently rank 24th in passing yards allowed per game. With so many points expected by oddsmakers, Allen is in line for plenty of opportunities to throw 3 or more TDs.
Matt Ryan Over .5 INTs (-120)
Jacksonville and Indy played once already in week 2, where the Jags annihilated the Colts 24-0, picking off Ryan 3 times. The Jags seem to be kryptonite for the Colts dating back to the end of the regular season last year. Ryan is fresh off a 2 INT game against Denver, and has thrown at least one pick in 4 of his 5 starts so far this season. Jonathan Taylor is banged up and questionable for Sunday, putting more offensive load on Ryan, which has not been a recipe for success so far.
David Njoku Over 38.5 Rec Yards (-120)
Njoku has been heating up the past three weeks averaging over 6 catches and 83 yards per game, becoming Jacoby Brissett’s clear #2 option behind Amari Cooper. Cleveland trusts Njoku in the run and the pass game, playing him on 90% of the team's offensive snaps which is the most of any skill position player besides Brissett. Even if Bill Belichick can put the clamps on the Browns athletic tight end, half of his recent production should be enough to get him over the hump on his yardage total.