by ASA, Inc.
Saturday, Sep 28, 2024The upcoming Sunday Night Football game on September 29, 2024, features an exciting matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Baltimore Ravens, both teams’ contenders to win it all this season. Here's a quick preview:
- Buffalo Bills: Coming into this game, the Bills are looking to maintain their undefeated streak, having dominated in their first three games. Josh Allen has been in exceptional form, leading the offense throwing 7 touchdowns without an interception so far this season. The Bills' defense has also stepped up, significantly allowing just 20-total points in their last two games after giving up 28 vs Arizona in week 1. Buffalo leads the NFL in YPP differential at +1.9 and they have the best point differential at +64.
- Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens, under Lamar Jackson, are coming off a crucial win against the Dallas Cowboys, which might just be the momentum they need. Despite a 1-2 start this team leads the league in total yards per game at 430.3, rank 1st in yards per play (6.7) and are 2nd in overall rushing. Lamar Jackson's mobility could be a key in this game facing a Buffalo defense that has allowed 4.7 YPC this season. When the Bills faced a mobile QB in week 1, Arizona's Kyler Murray, he rushed for over 10 YPC.
- Game Expectation: This game is set to be a clash of styles and strategies. The Bills will likely aim to control the game through Josh Allen's arm as they face a Baltimore defense that ranks #1 in the NFL in rushing yards allowed and YPC allowed. Conversely, the Ravens might rely heavily on their ground game and Jackson's dual-threat capabilities to keep Buffalo's defense on the field as Buffalo's defensive weakness seems to be stopping the ground game.
- Key Points to Watch:
- Josh Allen vs. Ravens Defense: Can Allen continue his turnover-free streak against a Ravens defense that's been known for creating chaos?
- Lamar Jackson's Mobility: How will the Bills contain Jackson's ability to extend plays with his legs?
- Ravens' Run Game: Will Baltimore's consistent rushing attack find success against Buffalo's defensive front?
This game promises not only a battle of AFC titans but also a showcase of two of the league's most dynamic quarterbacks. Looking for better betting opportunities than just the Side or Total, we have found several player props that offer value.
Player Prop Bet Predictions:
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Josh Allen (QB, Bills) - Over 232.5 Passing Yards:
- Reason: Josh Allen has been highly efficient in all three games this season and owns the highest QBR rating in the NFL at 133.7. His overall passing YPG is only 211PYPG but he only threw it 19 times against the Dolphins in W2, a blowout Bills win. We expect a big game here, given the Ravens' vulnerable pass defense this season. Baltimore is allowing 291 passing yards per game which is the most in the NFL. The Ravens D allows 7.5 Yards Per Pass Attempt.
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Lamar Jackson (QB, Ravens) - Over 57.5 Rushing Yards:
- Reason: Lamar Jackson is known for his legs and has averaged 84.7 rushing YPG this season, the second leading rusher on the team. The Bills have a solid overal defense, ranking 6th in DVOA, but they are susceptible to the run. Buffalo gives up 4.7 yards per carry (24th) and 118.3 rushing YPG (16th).
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James Cook (RB, Bills) - Over 2.5 Receptions made:
- Reason: With the Ravens' defense being one of the best in the league against the run, we will look at Cook and his receiving props. Cook might not hit massive rushing numbers on the ground but should get enough targets coming out of the backfield. The Ravens pressure on QB Allen will force check downs to backs out of the backfield to push his receptions over this number. Cook is averaging 2.67 receptions per game and has been Over this number in 5 of his last 6 games.
