Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders
Sunday, Dec 29th at 8:15 PM ET
PLAYER PROP – Washington QB Jayden Daniels Over 48.5 Rushing Yards
Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders has been a dynamic force on the ground this season, averaging 8.5 rushes and 49 rushing yards per game. This trend looks set to continue against the Atlanta Falcons, who have shown vulnerabilities in defending against quarterback runs. Daniels has managed to exceed 66 rushing yards in three of his last four games, showcasing his ability to break significant yardage. Additionally, he has hit the 50-yard mark or higher in four of his last six home games, indicating a strong performance trend at home.
The Falcons currently rank 28th in Expected Points Added (EPA) per play against quarterback runs, which suggests a favorable matchup for Daniels. This matchup could provide him with ample opportunities to exploit the defense with his legs, potentially leading to another high-rushing yardage game. Daniels ranks 2nd among QBs in YPG rushing and when Atlanta faced Philadelphia’s QB Hurts, who ranks 3rd in rushing among QB’s, he ran for nearly 90 yards.
Given these stats and trends, Daniels is likely to have a notable impact on the ground. Prop bets focused on his rushing yards could be a smart play, particularly if set around or slightly above his recent averages which is where it sits right now at 48.5. Facing one of the worst defenses in the NFL at limiting QB runs, we look for Daniels to get into at least the 50’s for his rushing yards on Sunday night.