by ASA, Inc.
J.J McCarthy (+1000)
The favorite to win this award, Caleb Williams (+210), has an ideal setup for a monster rookie season. DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, and Rome Odunze make up arguably the best WR core in the NFL. Yet, many forget how loaded the Vikings weapons are. Justin Jefferson still has a case for the best WR in the league and Jordan Addison evolved into an elite number two last year finishing with over 900 yards and 10 touchdowns, while enduring horrendous QB play the second half of the season. TJ Hockenson is no slouch at TE (960 yards, 5 TDs in 2023) and the addition of Aaron Jones adds even more explosion to Minnesota’s offense. The Vikings play 11 games indoors in 2024, which makes for plenty of highscoring affairs. McCarthy was extremely efficient while leading Michigan to the National Title in 2023. If he can even somewhat translate his 72% completion rate and 5.5/1 TD to INT ratio to NFL play, he will have all the help he needs to burst into the NFL spotlight.
Keon Coleman (+2500)
Coleman may not be the most talented WR in this rookie class, but he certainly has the most enticing situation, stepping into the void of Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis’s departers. In one of the most pass-happy offenses, 241 targets are now up for grabs for Buffalo pass catchers. Not to mention those targets are coming from one of the best QBs in the league. Coleman stands 6’3, 215, and possesses much better game speed than he showed at the combine (4.61 40 yard dash). Khalil Shakir is the only WR in the whole room that has chemistry with Allen, so it's safe to assume Coleman is walking into 100+ targets for 2024. With that volume and Coleman’s natural ability, a Garrett Wilson (2022 OROY) type season is very realistic for the Bills new number one WR.
Quinyon Mitchell (+1100)
Mitchell was the first DB taken in the 2024 draft and he adds much needed help to an Eagles defense that was torched through the air last year. Philly ranked 31st in pass yards allowed which was a massive swing from when they ranked 1st in pass yards allowed in 2022. Mitchell ran a 4.33 and will sit opposite from Darius Slay to try and sure up the Eagles secondary. Philadelphia still has one of the best front sevens in all of football (five 1st round draft picks), so it's shocking they were so bad last year. Mitchell could be the missing piece to the Eagles regaining their dominance. At the number two corner spot, Mitchell will have lots of opportunities to show his first round value and such a loaded defensive line in front of him should theoretically allow Mitchell to flourish.
Chop Robinson (+1600)
Chop is a perfect fit for the Dolphins who want to sling it all around the field on offense allowing their pass rush to get to the QB on defense. Robinson is a pass rusher yet he ran a 4.48 40 time that would allow him to sit comfortably among the likes of the defensive backs in that category. Clearly a freak athlete, the 21 year old has all the tools to be the best defensive player in the draft class. There was so much offensive talent taken early in this year's draft, that the former Penn State DE fell all the way to 22nd, which seems like an absolute steal for Miami. Will Anderson won DROY last season with 7 sacks, that number seems well within reach for Chop who will learn quickly from his veteran teammates Shaq Barrett and Bradley Chubb.