NFL MVP Race

Dak Prescott (+800)

Dak currently ranks second in both Passing TDs (23) and Passer Rating (107.4), while also ranking sixth in Passing Yards (2,935). Jalen Hurts is the favorite to win MVP as it sits, but this year's race is wide open with six weeks left in the regular season. No quarterback has separated themselves statistically and with the mix of rushing stats in today's NFL it is tougher than ever to determine MVP. Players like Hurts, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen bring more than just passing to the equation. However, from a passing standpoint, Prescott has been arguably the best QB in the NFL this year. Not only has Dak been very efficient, but he has also taken care of the football, only throwing 6 INTs. Voters love to see low turnover values as 5 of the last 7 MVP winners have thrown single digit picks in their seasons. A huge game awaits in two weeks as Dak could become the odds on favorite if the Cowboys can beat the Eagles on Sunday Night Football. That game will be in Jerry World and will have massive playoff and MVP ramifications. 

CJ Stroud (+2500)

Houston has been the surprise of the season in the AFC, mainly propelled by Stroud’s asstounding rookie season. It has been quite some time since a rookie QB has burst onto the scene, especially considering the lack of roster talent the Texans had to start 2023. An overachieving offensive line paired with explosive young skill positions has led Stroud to second in Passing Yards (3,266), and sixth in Passer Rating (100.8). Also sporting a 19/5 TD/INT ratio, CJ is right in the mix for MVP candidacy. With Houston at 6-5, Stroud will have to boost his stats to end the year in order to make up for the lack of winning. Every single MVP winner since 2013 has won their division, showing how much team success does determine this award. Yet, Stroud has the highest ceiling of any QB this year throwing for 470 yards and 5 TDs three weeks ago.

Tyreek Hill (+5000) 

Looking back, it is astonishing that Tyreek was not drafted until the 5th round in the 2016 draft. He has evolved into the most explosive, unguardable receiver in the league. Not only is he faster than everyone, his route running and short burst speed is arguably better than any receiver ever. The single season NFL receiving record is held by Calvin Johnson at 1,964 yards. Hill is on pace for 2,046 if he maintains his per game yardage to end the year. Hill will have one more game than Calvin however. Still, if Tyreek were to eclipse 2k yards while having 15+ TDs, it is hard to award the MVP trophy elsewhere. If a QB does not separate themselves from the pack statistically, Hill will have an outside chance to make history as the first receiver to win MVP in the modern era. Currently no QB is on pace to surpass 4,800 yards and no QB is on pace to throw for more than 36 TDs, leaving the door wide open for Hill.