NFL Monday Night Player Prop

NFL MONDAY NIGHT PLAYER PROP - Green Bay Packers - Josh Jacobs - Over 88.5 Rushing Yards:

 

Current Form: Josh Jacobs has been in exceptional form this season, showcasing his ability to carry the load for Green Bay's offense. Heading into this game, Jacobs ranks third in the NFL with 1,147 rushing yards and is 4th in rushing attempts per game.

 

Matchup Advantage: The Saints' defense has struggled significantly against the run this season, ranking 30th in the league by allowing 4.9 yards per rush. They've also given up an average of 134 rushing yards per game, which places them 27th league-wide. This matchup is particularly favorable for Jacobs, who thrives against weaker run defenses.  Green Bay has faced 5 rush defenses so far this season ranked 20th or lower.  In those games Jacobs has averaged 104 YPG on the ground.

 

Game Script: We expect the Packers to get a lead (14 point favorites) and lean heavily on their run game to control the clock and the game's tempo, especially with the Saints' pass defense performing better than their rush defense. A strategy focusing on ground control could see Jacobs exceeding his rushing yard prop.

 

Statistical Insights: Given the Saints' defensive stats, Jacobs has a clear path to go over 88.5 rushing yards. His season average of approximately 82.3 yards per game, combined with the Saints' vulnerabilities, suggests he's likely to hit this mark. Jacobs has also forced 60 missed tackles this season, second among running backs, indicating his ability to make something out of nothing even when the defense is stacked against him. 

 

Conclusion: Given the matchup, Josh Jacobs stands a strong chance of going over his 88.5 rushing yards prop. His current form, the Saints' poor run defense, and a game script that could favor a ground-heavy approach all point towards a big night for Jacobs on the ground. Betting on Jacobs to exceed this threshold could be a wise choice for those looking at player props for this Monday Night Football game