NFL Full Season Player Props

Will Levis Over 3399.5 Passing yards (-110)

In 2023, Levis averaged 200 passing yards per game during his nine starts. If you take that mark and multiply it by the 17 games he's expected to start next season, we get 3400 yards on the dot. Tennessee made it a point to get Levis some help this offseason adding Calvin Ridley,  Tony Pollard, and using a first round pick on an offensive lineman for the second consecutive year. Sophomore progression seems likely as the Titans were bottom five in total offense last year, looking insanely stagnant at times. A more pass happy attack is in store with the departure of Derrick Henry and Tennessee has a mediocre to bad defense further encouraging higher scoring affairs in 2024. New OC Nick Holz came from the Jaguars who ranked 9th in passing yards last season (243 ypg). There is zero QB competition for the Titans so if Levis stays healthy, he will have every opportunity to fight through any struggles that come up. 

De’Von Achane Over 750.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

As explosive as Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are in the passing game, Miami runs the ball as well as anyone in the NFL. They ranked sixth in rushing yards (136 ypg) while leading the league in yards per carry. Achane played a massive part in that efficiency, turning 103 attempts into 800 yards (7.8 ypc) in just 11 games. That explosion allows Achane to see a reduced workload or even miss some games due to injury and still be able to deliver his yardage total. If we take into account that Raheem Moster is 32 years old, having a lengthy injury history of his own, then Achane’s prop seems even more attainable. Possibly leading the Dolphins in rushing attempts, on a team that racked up over 2300 yards in 2023, Achane seems a no brainer. 

Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 1000.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Harrison is a physical specimen and will be Kyler Murray’s go to target from week one. Hollywood Brown departed for Kansas City, leaving no other established WR in the entire room. Harrison will be walking into 100+ targets and should have no trouble reaching the 1k mark in his rookie year. Murray’s health is the one thing to keep an eye on, but he did play in eight games after coming back from his ACL injury and remained healthy going into the offseason. With a couple highlights from upcoming training camp, Marvin Jr. will be a main topic of conversation and his prop yards may shift upwards in coming weeks. A Jamar Chase type of rookie year is well within reach for Harrison (81 rec, 1455 yards, 13 TDs), it's just a matter of health and chemistry with Murray.