New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/31/2024

Game Time: 12:35 pm ET, Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +114, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Yankees:  63-45 (2nd place, AL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  65-41 (1st place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 11-6 MLB RUN for +$8,630 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-45 record overall and have a road record of 36-22. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Yankees won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .772 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Nestor Cortes is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-9 with a 4.13 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 9 hits through 4.2 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-41 record overall and have a home record of 38-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Phillies lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.05 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 65-41 record overall which leads the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have the best home record in the MLB with their 38-19 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 63-45 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the AL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked better in their road games though, going 36-22 in those. The Yankees took the 1st game of this series and they put up a ton of runs in that game, but their offense isn't going to be able to do that again with this pitching matchup. The Phillies are going to have Sanchez on the mound here and he has been solid for the Phillies all season. He is 7-6 with a 3.05 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting, but he will be looking to bounce back at home since he has been really consistent this year. The Yankees have been struggling lately too so even though the Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games, this is a good game for them to bounce back in. The Yankees are going with Cortes in this one and he has struggled all season for the Yankees. He is 4-9 with a 4.13 ERA and hasn't really been keeping teams off the board lately. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him, and the team has had no success with him lately either, losing 6 games in a row with him starting. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Yankees Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 31, 2024 (12:35 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Yankees 3.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

New York Yankees: 37-22 (+10.20 units) on the moneyline in their last 59 away games. 43-32 (+16.80 units) on the runline in their last 75 games. 30-14 to the over in their last 44 games. 

Philadelphia Phillies: 28-28 (-15.45 units) on the moneyline in their last 56 games. 16-25 (-10.40 units) on the runline in their last 41 games. 54-35 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 89 games. 

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I told him I had 96 one year. He passed that tonight in July and he gets walked and pitched all the time, too.” - Aaron Boone on Aaron Judge after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Monday.

“We're not getting big hits. It's great when big hits are rolling off left and right. Getting ahead in general is hard. It's not going out there and trying to chase that hit and chase that big moment.” - Kyle Schwarber after their loss against the Yankees in their game on Monday.

A Verdugo (L) LF

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) CF

A Wells (L) C

G Stanton (R) DH

J Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B

G Torres (R) 2B

B Rice (L) 1B

A Volpe (R) SS

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

B Marsh (L) CF

J Realmuto (R) C

N Castellanos (R) RF

B Stott (L) 2B

A Hays (R) LF

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (119)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (39)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (99)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (18)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (11)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.321)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (117)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (24)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (71)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.02)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)