by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 23, 2024
Game Time: 8:08 pm ET, Friday, October 25, 2024
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Yankees +105, Dodgers -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Yankees +105, Dodgers -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Yankees +105, Dodgers -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
New York Yankees: 94-68 (1st place, AL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 98-64 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
New York Yankees: 8-2 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their best 4 out of 7 game series against the Cleveland Guardians 4-1 in the American League Championship Series. They finished the regular season with a 94-68 record overall and had a road record of 50-31. This is the series opener of a best 4 out of 7 game series with the Dodgers on Friday for the World Series. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .781 OPS. Carlos Rodón was their starting pitcher on Saturday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-5 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team won their 3 playoff games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their best 4 out of 7 game series against the New York Mets 4-2 in the National League Championship Series. They finished the regular season with a 98-64 record overall and had a home record of 52-29. This is the 1st game of a best 4 out of 7 game series with the Yankees on Friday for the World Series. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Michael Kopech was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Jack Flaherty is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 playoff games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 8 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 0 Ks on 8 hits through 3 IP against the New York Mets.
Yankees vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 94-68 record overall which won the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They were also 50-31 in their road games this season and got to the World Series by beating the Royals in the ALDS and the Guardians in the ALCS. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have also looked great in their games this season with their 98-64 record overall which won them the NL West with the best record in the entire MLB. They were 52-29 in their home games this year and they got to the World Series by beating the Padres in the NLDS and the Mets in NLCS. The Yankees are going with Cole in this one and he hasn't been lights out in the playoffs this season, but he has looked better in his starts lately. He is 8-5 with a 3.41 ERA this season and his team has won all 3 playoff games that he has pitched in. He wasn't great in his first playoff start, but he looked a lot better in his last 2 and only gave up 2 earned runs in those. The Dodgers are going with Flaherty in this one and he has looked terrible in these playoffs. He is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA this season, but his team has lost 2 of the 3 playoff games he started in and he gave up 4 earned runs or more in both of those losses. He just gave up 8 earned runs in his last start too and that is going to be a problem since the Yankees do have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Yankees have the better pitching matchup here and they will bring their best effort for this first game so they can try to flip the home advantage in this series right away. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Yankees Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, October 25, 2024 (8:08 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Dodgers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Yankees: 53-31 (+12.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 17-8 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 26-16 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 80-44 (+18.7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 26-19 OVER in an inter-league game. 66-51 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 55-31 (-4.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 51-29 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 30-22 (-10.8 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 49-27 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 69-43 OVER against right-handed starters. 9-1 OVER in playoff games.
Key Injuries
New York Yankees: N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Undefined - Elbow. I. Hamilton (RP) Out - Calf. L. Trivino (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. LeMahieu (2B) Ten Day IL - Hip. J. Brubaker (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: F. Freeman (1B) Probable - Ankle. M. Rojas (SS) Out - Abdominal. A. Vesia (RP) Out - Back. M. Grove (SP) Out - Shoulder. J. Kelly (RP) Out - Shoulder. C. Kershaw (SP) Out - Toe. B. Graterol (RP) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. D. May (SP) Out - Elbow. E. Sheehan (SP) Out - Elbow. T. Gonsolin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Sixty Day IL - Foot.
Notable Quotes
“Obviously he put up an amazing season statistically speaking, but in the biggest moments, that’s what he does. And it shouldn’t be taken for granted.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Guardians in game 5 of the ALCS on Saturday.
“I never imagined once we acquired him, he’d be hitting fourth in a postseason game. But I trust him. The guys trust him. He’s made huge defensive plays for us and had huge hits.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Mets in game 6 of the NLCS on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Yankees
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Juan Soto (L) RF
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Austin Wells (L) C
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Tommy Edman (S) SS
Max Muncy (L) 1B
Enrique Hernández (R) 3B
Andy Pages (R) CF
Will Smith (R) C
Chris Taylor (R) 2B
Statistical Leaders
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits: Aaron Judge (180)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (58)
RBI: Aaron Judge (144)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (28)
Wins: Carlos Rodón (16)
Saves: Clay Holmes (30)
ERA: Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Hunter Feduccia (.333)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (197)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (54)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (130)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (59)
Wins: Gavin Stone (11)
Saves: Evan Phillips (18)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
