New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Sunday, June 16, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -148, Red Sox +124; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -150, Red Sox +130; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -150, Red Sox +125; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Yankees:  50-22 (1st place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  35-35 (3rd place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Kansas City Royals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-22 record overall and have a road record of 28-12. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Yankees won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .772 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-2 with a 2.82 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 1 K on 4 hits through 5.2 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-35 record overall and have a home record of 16-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Red Sox lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Cooper Criswell is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-6 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team lost their last 7 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 50-22 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their road games with their 28-12 road record. Meanwhile, the Red Sox haven't looked good in their games this season with their 35-35 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East but well out of the race for 1st place with both the Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles many games ahead of them. The Red Sox have also looked worse in their home games this year as they have a winning road record but a 16-20 home record. They lost the 1st game of this series to the Yankees 8-1 and they don't have a favorable pitching matchup in this one. The Red Sox are going with Crawford on the mound and he is 2-6 with a 3.47 ERA this year. He hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his starts, but he has been consistently giving up runs all year. He gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team hasn't had much success with him either, losing their last 7 games in a row with him starting. The Yankees are going to have Stroman on the mound in this game and he is 6-2 with a 2.82 ERA this season. He has looked really good in his starts this season, not giving up many runs all year, and he is coming off a start in which he gave up no runs in too. The Yankees also have the much better bullpen to help him out here and they have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Yankees will bring their best effort to win against their rival as these are the teams they need to beat in the division to stay ahead of the Orioles. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 16, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 8 Red Sox 3.

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New York Yankees: 50-22 (+21 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-12 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 38-15 (+14.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 8-2 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. MARCUS STROMAN is 10-5 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing. 

Boston Red Sox: 191-203 (-23.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 80-115 (-13.1 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 98-100 (-18.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 20-13 UNDER in home games. 6-3 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. 

New York Yankees:  J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. G. Cole (SP) Mid June - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Schmidt (SP) Mid June - Lower Body. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.

Boston Red Sox:  M. Mayer (SS) Ques Sat - Leg. Z. Penrod (SP) Late June - Leg. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. R. Gonzalez (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. W. Abreu (CF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.

“That’s really impressive. I’ve been there, where you go back and play, and from my experience, it’s odd, it’s hard to normalize things. He was very calm before the game. In my mind, maybe he was a little nervous. But, he came right out and delivered a punch on the first pitch and didn’t stop. Pretty impressive performance, knowing it meant a lot to him.” - Aaron Boone on Alex Verdugo after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Friday.

“We were talking about getting ahead, stay ahead. I don’t think that was the case. He fell behind to nine hitters and I think six or seven of them got on base. They have a good offense, but with that, we have to be more aggressive in the strike zone.” - Alex Cora on Brayan Bello after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Friday.

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Juan Soto (L) LF

Aaron Judge (R) CF

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Oswaldo Cabrera (S) 3B

Jose Trevino (R) C

Jarren Duran (L) LF

David Hamilton (L) SS

Tyler O'Neill (R) RF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Connor Wong (R) C

Enmanuel Valdez (L) 2B

Dominic Smith (L) 1B

Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Juan Soto (81)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (25)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (63)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Connor Wong (.330)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (78)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (13)

RBI:  Ceddanne Rafaela (37)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (15)

Wins:  Tanner Houck (7)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (10)

ERA:  Pablo Reyes (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)