New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2024

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jul 13, 2024
Game Time: 11:35 am ET, Sunday, July 14, 2024
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  Roku


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -102, Orioles -118; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -102, Orioles -118; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -102, Orioles -118; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

New York Yankees:  57-39 (2nd place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  57-37 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10



New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis


The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-39 record overall and have a road record of 32-20. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Yankees won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Luis Gil is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-7 with a 4.63 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 4 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-37 record overall and have a home record of 29-21. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Orioles lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .766 OPS. Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.


Yankees vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 57-39 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, fighting with the Orioles for 1st place. They have also looked better in their road games this year with their 32-20 road record. Meanwhile, the Orioles have also looked great in their games this season with their 57-37 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, and this is a big series for them since the Yankees are right on their tail. The Orioles are also 29-21 in their home games this season. As good as both of these teams have been this year, both have been struggling a lot lately. The Yankees are only 3-7 in their last 10 games while the Orioles are 4-6. The Yankees took the 1st game of this series and they are going to give their best effort since they have a chance to reclaim 1st place in the AL East with a good performance in this series. They have Rodon on the mound in this one and he is 9-7 with a 4.63 ERA. He got off to a great start this season as he racked up those 9 wins quickly, but lately he hasn't looked as good. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and even when he has been pitching well in his starts, the team has still lost 5 games in a row with him starting. He is long overdue for a win though and this could be the perfect game for him to get that with the Orioles starting to struggle now. The Orioles are going to have Kremer on the mound here and he hasn't looked that good in his starts this year. He is 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA and has been giving up a lot of runs all season. He gave up 5 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. The Yankees are going to have some momentum in this series and they will be motivated knowing they can close the gap in the division. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 14, 2024 (11:35 am ET start time) is Yankees 5 Orioles 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


New York Yankees: 9-18 (-17.40 units) on the moneyline in their last 27 games. 9-18 (-16.35 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 27 games. 26-14 to the over in their last 40 games.

Baltimore Orioles: 47-42 (+11.80 units) on the runline in their last 89 games. 48-32 (+11 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 80 games. 31-23 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 54 games. 

Key Injuries


New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) Ques Sat - Quadricep. J. Davis (RP) Late July - Illness. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.

Baltimore Orioles:  H. Kjerstad (RF) Ques Sat - Head. D. Coulombe (RP) Mid Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“I hope Heston's all right. Nobody ever wants to see that. Obviously, emotional moment, two teams playing for a lot. Glad it didn't escalate too much.” - Aaron Boone on the bench brawl after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Friday.


"We're hoping for the best." - Brandon Hyde on the injury to Heston Kjerstad after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


New York Yankees
D LeMahieu (R) 3B
J Soto (L) RF
A Judge (R) CF
B Rice (L) 1B
G Torres (R) 2B
A Verdugo (L) LF
A Volpe (R) SS
J Trevino (R) C
J Jones (R) DH

Baltimore Orioles
G Henderson (L) SS
A Rutschman (S) C
A Santander (S) RF
R O'Hearn (L) DH
J Westburg (R) 2B
H Kjerstad (L) LF
R Mountcastle (R) 1B
C Mullins (L) CF
R Urías (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (103)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (33)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (84)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)
Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (106)
Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (27)
RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (61)
Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)
Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (11)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)
ERA:  Burch Smith (0.00)

Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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